USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, June 30, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
5 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 46% 12%
6 MARTOS Sara A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
7 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
8 LI Grace Q. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 10%
9 KOO Haley B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
10 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
11 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
12 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
13 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 17%
14 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
15 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 21%
16 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
17 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
18 KORABLINA Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
19 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
19 NOVOSELTSEVA Anna V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
21 ZHANG Rachel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
22 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
23 MINARIK Natalie M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
24 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
24 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
26 LEVI Lea 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
27 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
28 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
29 WANG Karina (Karina Xue Wang) X. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
29 BIASCO Anna 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
31 LO Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
32 CHEN Cynthia 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1% -
33 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
34 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 1%
35 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
35 AHN Isabella 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
37 TALAVERA Daena 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
38 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 2%
39 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
40 PUSTILNIK Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
41 HUNT Tarleton Q. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
42 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
43 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
44 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
45 SHALANSKY Julia B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
45 YU Seneca 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
45 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
48 THOMPSON Julia T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
49 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
50 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
51 CANDESCU Diana 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
52 HAO Grace 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 18%
53 NOVOSELTSEVA Elizabeth (Liza) M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 7%
54 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
55 LIN Annie X. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26% 2%
56 WEINTRAUB Rei H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
57 MANDOUR Sophia M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
57 LAM Justina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
59 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
60 REN Olivia Y. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
61 RASO Sofia G. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
62 NEWHARD Zelia K. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
63 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
64 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
65 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
66 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 5%
66 CHO Gracie L. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
68 HAO Alicia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
69 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
70 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 12%
71 HALL Velma 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 21% 3%
72 CHUSID Renata (Renata Chusid) M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
72 KASI Anisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 19%
74 LOCKE Savannah 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
75 SHIH Diane 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
76 FLANAGAN Catherine H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
77 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
78 LUKINS Tianji 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
79 LAU Sydnee M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4%
80 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
81 UYANIK Nerine 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
82 ZAROFF Roxanne 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
82 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% -
82 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
85 CHEN Nicole Y. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
86 CHO Cameron S. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
87 HE Fenghuan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11% -
88 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
89 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16% 1%
89 ATLURI Srija 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
91 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 34% 4%
92 FANG Serena 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
93 CHO Taylor S. 100% 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% -
94 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 98% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
95 MERGES Gretl C. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 8% 1%
96 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% 1%
97 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
98 BARNETTE Zoe 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
99 FEI Ruoqiu 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
100 GONG Christina S. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
101 ALFONSO Czarina M. 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
102 TANG Louise 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
102 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
104 BANIN Isabelle J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
105 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 24% 4%
106 MAROTTA Veronica L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
107 HERNANDEZ Susanne 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
107 GOMES Rafaella T. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
107 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
110 SCHATZ Kristina J. 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
111 YAMAGUCHI Kate M. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
112 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
113 BOODELL Ella 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
114 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
115 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
116 IBEN Claire L. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
117 MOLHO Sofia 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% -
118 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
119 ZHANG Sylvia 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 11% 1%
120 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
121 AHN Gabriella 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
122 KIM Lauren 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
123 SUSINI Anna K. 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
124 KIM Lauren Hyomin 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
125 STEWART Isabella A. 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
126 WU Catherine 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
127 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 7%
127 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
129 TAN Delphine 100% 98% 71% 26% 4% - -
129 KIM Kayla A. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
131 BHANOT Gayatri 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% -
132 JO Mia C. 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 8% 1%
133 ABAYEVA Sasha 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
134 CHON Samantha 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
135 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
135 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
137 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1%
138 CROMPTON Celia N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 4%
139 SHEN Jasmine N. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 2%
140 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
140 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
142 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
143 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
144 DEVEREAUX Kate E. 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
144 HE Xiangxin 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
146 YEH Samantha 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
147 SABATINI Isabella Ravenne 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
148 SHANG Andrea 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
148 LEE Angelina S. 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1% -
150 OH Erin H. 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 1% -
151 CEPERO Rosabel 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 1%
151 GAYDOS Sofia C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
153 CHENG Lydia A. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
154 WANG Yiran (Cindy) 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
155 TIAN Grace 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
156 JING Emily 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
157 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
158 DE LA CRUZ Alyssa 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
159 LEE Paulina 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 1%
160 MCSHINE Katelyn H. 100% 89% 54% 18% 2% -
161 ALTEN Ayaka 100% 88% 45% 11% 1% -
162 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
163 LEE Jessica Doyun 100% 93% 60% 21% 4% - -
164 WU Kyra 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
165 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
166 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
166 HU Victoria 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
168 DU Hannah 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% - -
169 SHEN Sophia 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
170 LIN Ashley 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3% -
171 DING Abigail 100% 97% 70% 28% 5% - -
172 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
173 TONG Ophelia 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
174 SLOWINSKI Maia A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
174 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
176 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
177 ADAMS KIM Natalie 100% 97% 69% 26% 5% - -
178 YU Jaime L. 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% - -
179 MORAN Emma 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
180 LOW Sharon J. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
180 XU Marie-Anne J. 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
180 SU Alysa J. 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
183 VONA Elena M. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
184 TAN Clarisse 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
185 WU Irene M. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
186 PO Edith 100% 100% 94% 63% 23% 4% -
187 OUTHRED Maya E. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
188 XU Christine 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5% -
189 FERNANDES Thea 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% - -
190 LI Meilin 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
191 YANG Blanche 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
191 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
191 XIE zoey 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
194 COKER Bettina M. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
194 KONG Olivia 100% 100% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
196 KEESING Liana 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1% -
197 CHON Sydney 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
198 CAO Angel 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
199 PATEL Anika 100% 98% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
200 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 97% 75% 32% 6% -
201 KOROL Neta 100% 93% 62% 23% 3% -
202 KOROL Dana 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
203 DE LA CRUZ Ava 100% 94% 67% 27% 4% -
204 TRAN Ava D. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
205 SUH Kailey E. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
206 HO Rachel E. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
207 HUANG NATALIE 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
208 PARK Jaimie Lina 100% 60% 20% 3% - - -
209 VEERKAMP Molly 100% 97% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
209 OESTERREICHER Chloe K. 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
211 LEE Isabelle 100% 92% 59% 23% 5% - -
212 LIU Alice M. 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
213 JEWETT Jamie 100% 94% 60% 22% 4% - -
213 LUO ZIWEN 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
215 ZHAO Grace 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
216 KIM Katherine 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
217 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
218 SANDERS Loralyn A. 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
219 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 27% 3% - - - -
220 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
220 LIN Joyce 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
222 RAMAN Tanvi 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
222 YIN Helen 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
224 HEISER Anna M. 100% 27% 2% - - - -
225 DUAN Konnie 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
226 SHEN Annabel 100% 97% 67% 26% 5% - -
227 BALCH Julia 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
228 VIANNA Gabriella 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
229 D'ARCY Annie M. 100% 86% 31% 5% - - -
230 HAUK Zsofia F. 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
230 KIM Alyssa 100% 90% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
230 FUNG Carina W. 100% 79% 24% 3% - - -
233 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% - -
234 ROSBERGER Jessica 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
235 KANG Jiyoon 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
236 WU Renee 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
237 THOMAS Aaria S. 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
238 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
239 VOHRA Anusha 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
240 HOBSON Leena 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
241 ZENG Brianna 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
242 HIRSCH Gabriella H. 100% 24% 2% - - - -
242 YEH Marissa E. 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
242 WU Julianna Y. 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
245 WANG ROBIN 100% 41% 5% - - - -
246 FAN Elaine 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
247 WANG Catherine K. 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
248 HIRSCH Sophie A. 100% 78% 29% 5% - - -
249 MUELLER Tatum J. 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
250 RENTON Samantha 100% 84% 43% 12% 1% - -
250 YOUNG Audrey S. 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
250 HSIUNG Samantha 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
253 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 24% 2% - - - -
254 FOLLOWILL Sarah S. 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
255 WANG Alison 100% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.