Event Results
USA Fencing National Championships & July ChallengeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MARCHANT Sandra M. | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 2 | SCHULTZ Michelle M. | D V V V V | V V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 3 | FOELLMER Kristin | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 3 | CHIMIENTI Michele | V D V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 5 | QUINLAN Nicole P. | V V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 6 | RANDAZZO Meredith D. | D V V V V V | V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 7 | MILLIGAN Lauren M. | V V V V D | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 8 | HEINRICH Eva | V V V V D D | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 9 | GANSER Yuliya | V V D V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 10 | DURRELL Katherine (Kathy) J. | D V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 11 | HABERKERN Kundry E. | V V V D D | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 12 | PARKER Jacquie D. | D D V V D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 13 | LYNCH Kristin A. | D V D D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 14 | ALLEN Susan B. | V D D D D V | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 15 | MOHEBI Sue | D D V D D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 16 | RHEA Heather | D D D V D | V D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 17 | WOUNDY Melissa A. | V V D D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 18 | KUHN April | V D D V D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 19 | GERTISER Amalie (Amy) C. | D D D V V D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 20 | FREY Alison | D V D D D V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 21 | HOWARD Megan W. | D D D D V | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 21 | FILIPPOV NEMETH Victoria | V D D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 23 | PETITE Jenny | D D D D V | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 24 | STANICA Teodora O. | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 25 | PAINE Cheryl A. | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |