USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Women's Foil

Wednesday, July 3, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JANG Kimberley - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
2 DE LA CRUZ Alyssa - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4%
3 PROCOPIO Lucia - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
3 XU Christine - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 15%
5 COSTELLO Angeline S. - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 11%
6 HECKMANN Emma - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
7 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
8 ATLURI Srija 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
9 JEWETT Jamie - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
10 LEE Angelina S. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
11 PATEL Anika - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
12 WANG Ellen - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
13 LOCKE Savannah - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
14 KLINE Melissa C. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
15 NEWHARD Zelia K. - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
15 MILLER Naomi E. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
17 ZHANG Sylvia - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
18 ALTEN Ayaka - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
19 LEE Paulina - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
20 WU Kyra - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
21 WU Renee - 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
22 SADAN Jordan E. - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
23 SHAW Kayla M. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
24 BOODELL Ella - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
25 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
26 SHEN Sophia 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
27 VOHRA Anusha 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% -
28 SOLSKY Brooke A. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
29 KIM Alyssa - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
30 LUU Shanon K. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
30 LI Meilin - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
32 CONVERSE Madilynn E. 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
33 TONG Ophelia - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
34 HALL Velma - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
35 JIANG Hannah S. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
36 HOLLE Aviella S. - 2% 12% 34% 37% 15% 1%
37 CHEN Cynthia 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
38 DE LA CRUZ Ava 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
39 VONA Elena M. - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 11%
40 CEPERO Rosabel - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
41 SHANG Andrea - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
42 KIM Kayla A. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
43 YE Eileen - - - 2% 15% 41% 41%
43 KOROL Dana - 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
45 PAPADAKIS Lily - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
46 TALWALKAR Apoorva - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
47 YEH Marissa E. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
48 TRAN Ava D. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
49 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
50 CASTANEDA Erika L. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
51 SCHATZ Kristina J. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
52 SHEN Annabel - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
53 BAROCHIA Meera - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
54 RENTON Samantha - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
55 FERNANDES Thea - - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8%
56 BYLAK Hannah R. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 4%
57 CHON Sydney - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
58 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
59 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
60 DEVEREAUX Kate E. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
61 PO Edith - - 3% 14% 36% 36% 11%
62 D'ARCY Annie M. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
63 POWERS Meredith R. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
64 PAVE Claire 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
65 RATSEP Ariel - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 13%
65 SU Alysa J. - - 3% 12% 31% 37% 17%
67 XU Marie-Anne J. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
68 BAKER-ROSENBERG Raynor S. 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
69 ACHILOVA Feyza - 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
70 BRADFORD Meeah - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
71 HOBSON Leena 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
72 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
73 LEE Jessica Doyun 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
74 TRASKUNOV Alisa G. 1% 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
75 PRIETO Sofia M. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
76 ZIMBALIST Lila 1% 8% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
77 SIMPSON Lydia Q. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
78 KELLY Katherine E. - 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
79 BASSON Bayley D. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
80 STEPHENSON Jenna - 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
81 THOMAS Aaria S. - 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 3%
82 DU Hannah - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
83 JONES LONGENBACH Melanie - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
84 MCKEVITT Caitlin R. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
85 GUERRA Sofia E. - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
86 PERLMAN Talia - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
87 LIN Joyce 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
88 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
89 FOLLOWILL Sarah S. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
90 FAN Elaine - - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
91 VEERKAMP Molly - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
92 BROTZEN-SMITH Clara R. - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
93 DAVIDSON Sammy C. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
94 PERKINS Jazmin A. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
94 FOELLMER Lena - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
96 WU Irene M. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
97 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
98 YU Lauren C. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
99 MCKEE Alexandra K. 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
100 WANG Christine - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
101 DE LA CRUZ Eden 4% 18% 33% 29% 14% 3% -
102 YOUNG Audrey S. 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
103 BECCHINA Claire E. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
104 SHIH Diane - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
105 HO Rachel E. 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
106 LEE Isabelle 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4%
107 YANG Liu (Willow) 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
108 TAN Clarisse 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
109 HAUK Zsofia F. - 4% 18% 32% 30% 14% 2%
110 KELBLEY Elena J. 11% 48% 32% 8% 1% - -
111 MCSHINE Katelyn H. 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
112 RASO Olivia 2% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
113 OWEN Ashley 3% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
113 ZHAO Grace 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
113 HENDRIAN Rachel M. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
116 ZENG Brianna 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
117 SARKARIA Jasminder 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
118 YE Catherine 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
118 LI Angela 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
120 HAYES Grace Y. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
121 YIN Helen 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
122 FELLMAN Sara 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
123 HUANG NATALIE 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
124 PROKOP Jeannine A. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
125 LEE Ariana 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
126 PAHLAVI Dahlia 30% 43% 21% 5% - -
127 MILLER Veronica 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
128 EDWARDS Darby 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
129 SCHUEPPERT Amelia V. 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
130 SALINAS Jessica L. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
131 KOROTCOVA Anastasia 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
132 CUI Melody J. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
133 HIRSCH Gabriella H. 21% 46% 27% 6% 1% - -
134 COKER Bettina M. 8% 29% 38% 20% 5% -
135 POWERS Kathryn 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
136 HEISER Anna M. 13% 45% 31% 9% 1% - -
137 OESTERREICHER Chloe K. 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
137 LOGAN Jade 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
139 DOUGLASS Kathrine E. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
140 LEE Bethany W. - < 1% 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
141 NARANG Maya - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
142 KALE Anika A. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
143 GROGAN Hunter K. 16% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
143 LI Kristina 58% 33% 8% 1% - - -
145 SASSE Savitri A. 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
145 YANG Blanche - 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
147 JASSEM Mikayla E. 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
148 COLE Alex 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
149 BERG Stephanie A. 10% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
150 BATSON Kaleookalani J. 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
151 CHEN Georgia M. 5% 35% 38% 17% 4% - -
152 GAO Esther S. 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
153 WOODFORD Kalei E. 32% 43% 20% 5% 1% - -
154 PANTIN Dominique L. 43% 40% 14% 3% - - -
155 HUNT Abigail S. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
156 WRIEDT Nancy J. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
157 MCPHERSON Hannah C. 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
158 ROMERO Sophia 2% 19% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
159 PENTSAKOV Margaret 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
160 KANIUK Rachel 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
161 WAHLER Katie R. 43% 44% 11% 1% - - -
161 KATZE Ashley 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
161 DOBRINEN Elizabeth 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
164 STONE Colleen R. 66% 30% 4% - - - -
164 FISHER Serena I. 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
166 SEEBERG Shelbie N. 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
166 GUO Jessica 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
168 BHAN Zala 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
169 BRENNER Ellie 4% 19% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
170 MALHOTRA Simran 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
171 SCHMIDT Victoria 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
172 JOSEPH priyanka 68% 28% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.