USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Women's Foil

Wednesday, July 3, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
2 DE LA CRUZ Alyssa 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
3 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
3 XU Christine 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 15%
5 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
6 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
7 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
8 ATLURI Srija 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
9 JEWETT Jamie 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
10 LEE Angelina S. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
11 PATEL Anika 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
12 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
13 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
14 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
15 NEWHARD Zelia K. 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
15 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
17 ZHANG Sylvia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
18 ALTEN Ayaka 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
19 LEE Paulina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
20 WU Kyra 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
21 WU Renee 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 17% 2%
22 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
23 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
24 BOODELL Ella 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
25 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
26 SHEN Sophia 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
27 VOHRA Anusha 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
28 SOLSKY Brooke A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
29 KIM Alyssa 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
30 LUU Shanon K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
30 LI Meilin 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
32 CONVERSE Madilynn E. 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% -
33 TONG Ophelia 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
34 HALL Velma 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
35 JIANG Hannah S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
36 HOLLE Aviella S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
37 CHEN Cynthia 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
38 DE LA CRUZ Ava 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
39 VONA Elena M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 11%
40 CEPERO Rosabel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
41 SHANG Andrea 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
42 KIM Kayla A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
43 YE Eileen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
43 KOROL Dana 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
45 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
46 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
47 YEH Marissa E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
48 TRAN Ava D. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
49 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
50 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
51 SCHATZ Kristina J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
52 SHEN Annabel 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
53 BAROCHIA Meera 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
54 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
55 FERNANDES Thea 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8%
56 BYLAK Hannah R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 4%
57 CHON Sydney 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
58 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
59 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
60 DEVEREAUX Kate E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
61 PO Edith 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
62 D'ARCY Annie M. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
63 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
64 PAVE Claire 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
65 RATSEP Ariel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
65 SU Alysa J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
67 XU Marie-Anne J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
68 BAKER-ROSENBERG Raynor S. 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
69 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 100% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
70 BRADFORD Meeah 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
71 HOBSON Leena 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
72 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
73 LEE Jessica Doyun 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
74 TRASKUNOV Alisa G. 100% 99% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
75 PRIETO Sofia M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
76 ZIMBALIST Lila 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
77 SIMPSON Lydia Q. 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
78 KELLY Katherine E. 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
79 BASSON Bayley D. 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
80 STEPHENSON Jenna 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
81 THOMAS Aaria S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
82 DU Hannah 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
83 JONES LONGENBACH Melanie 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
84 MCKEVITT Caitlin R. 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
85 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
86 PERLMAN Talia 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
87 LIN Joyce 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
88 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
89 FOLLOWILL Sarah S. 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
90 FAN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
91 VEERKAMP Molly 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
92 BROTZEN-SMITH Clara R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
93 DAVIDSON Sammy C. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
94 PERKINS Jazmin A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
94 FOELLMER Lena 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
96 WU Irene M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
97 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
98 YU Lauren C. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
99 MCKEE Alexandra K. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 7% 1%
100 WANG Christine 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
101 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
102 YOUNG Audrey S. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
103 BECCHINA Claire E. 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
104 SHIH Diane 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
105 HO Rachel E. 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
106 LEE Isabelle 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
107 YANG Liu (Willow) 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
108 TAN Clarisse 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% -
109 HAUK Zsofia F. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
110 KELBLEY Elena J. 100% 89% 42% 10% 1% - -
111 MCSHINE Katelyn H. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
112 RASO Olivia 100% 98% 80% 43% 14% 2% -
113 OWEN Ashley 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
113 ZHAO Grace 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
113 HENDRIAN Rachel M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
116 ZENG Brianna 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
117 SARKARIA Jasminder 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
118 YE Catherine 100% 96% 75% 37% 11% 2% -
118 LI Angela 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
120 HAYES Grace Y. 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
121 YIN Helen 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
122 FELLMAN Sara 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
123 HUANG NATALIE 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
124 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
125 LEE Ariana 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
126 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 70% 26% 5% 1% -
127 MILLER Veronica 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
128 EDWARDS Darby 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
129 SCHUEPPERT Amelia V. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
130 SALINAS Jessica L. 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
131 KOROTCOVA Anastasia 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
132 CUI Melody J. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
133 HIRSCH Gabriella H. 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
134 COKER Bettina M. 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
135 POWERS Kathryn 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
136 HEISER Anna M. 100% 87% 42% 11% 1% - -
137 OESTERREICHER Chloe K. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
137 LOGAN Jade 100% 79% 41% 12% 2% - -
139 DOUGLASS Kathrine E. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
140 LEE Bethany W. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
141 NARANG Maya 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
142 KALE Anika A. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
143 GROGAN Hunter K. 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
143 LI Kristina 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
145 SASSE Savitri A. 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
145 YANG Blanche 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
147 JASSEM Mikayla E. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
148 COLE Alex 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
149 BERG Stephanie A. 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
150 BATSON Kaleookalani J. 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
151 CHEN Georgia M. 100% 95% 59% 21% 4% - -
152 GAO Esther S. 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
153 WOODFORD Kalei E. 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
154 PANTIN Dominique L. 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
155 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
156 WRIEDT Nancy J. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
157 MCPHERSON Hannah C. 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
158 ROMERO Sophia 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
159 PENTSAKOV Margaret 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
160 KANIUK Rachel 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
161 WAHLER Katie R. 100% 57% 13% 1% - - -
161 KATZE Ashley 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
161 DOBRINEN Elizabeth 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
164 STONE Colleen R. 100% 34% 4% - - - -
164 FISHER Serena I. 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
166 SEEBERG Shelbie N. 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
166 GUO Jessica 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
168 BHAN Zala 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
169 BRENNER Ellie 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
170 MALHOTRA Simran 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
171 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
172 JOSEPH priyanka 100% 32% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.