USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Women's Foil

Thursday, July 4, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
2 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
3 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
5 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
6 TUCKER ALARCON Ariadna C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
7 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 58%
8 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
9 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
10 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
11 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
11 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
13 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 17%
14 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
15 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
16 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
17 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
18 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
19 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 17%
20 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 11%
21 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
22 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
23 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
24 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
24 CUI Melody J. 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 3% -
26 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
26 KOROL Neta 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
28 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
28 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
30 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
31 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
32 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
33 CHO Gracie L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
34 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
35 PRIETO Sofia M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32% 3%
36 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
37 YU Seneca 100% 100% 100% 90% 57% 15%
37 XU Christine 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 22%
39 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
40 BATRA Chaahat 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
41 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
42 CHON Sydney 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
43 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
44 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
44 ALTEN Ayaka 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
46 KOROL Dana 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
47 TRAN Ava D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
48 NEWHARD Zelia K. 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
49 KONG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 30%
49 CHENG Lydia A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
51 WU Irene M. 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
52 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
53 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
54 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 15%
55 HAMZA Malak 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
56 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
57 YE Eileen 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
58 HUANG NATALIE 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
59 PENG Amber L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 5%
60 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
61 LEE Isabelle 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
62 FERNANDES Thea 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
62 OH Erin H. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
64 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
65 HALL Velma 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
66 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
67 PERLMAN Talia 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
68 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
69 ZHANG Sylvia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 18%
70 SU Alysa J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
71 DING Abigail 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
72 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
73 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
74 TAN Clarisse 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
75 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
76 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 16%
77 XU Madison 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
78 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6% -
79 DUAN Konnie 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
80 LEE Ariana 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% -
80 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 13% 1%
82 BRADFORD Meeah 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
82 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
84 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
85 ATLURI Srija 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
86 XU Marie-Anne J. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
86 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
88 WU Julianna Y. 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
89 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
90 YIN Helen 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
91 SU Alena J. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
92 SUH Kailey E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
93 WONG Sophia M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
94 YEH Marissa E. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
95 LEE Bethany W. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 2%
96 WALBERT Charlotte B. 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
97 XUE Alanna 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21% 2%
98 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
99 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
100 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 5%
101 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 100% 98% 82% 40% 8%
102 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 98% 75% 32% 5%
103 FU Qihan 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
104 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
104 JIANG Hannah S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
106 LI Meilin 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
107 KIM Hyunchae Y. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
107 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
109 MICHAELSEN Emily 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
110 YEN Natalie 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
111 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
111 PENTSAKOV Margaret 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
113 KALE Anika A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
114 SCHATZ Erika J. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
115 WU Celine 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
116 AHMED Hannah 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
117 GU EMILY 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
117 LAMBERT Mahala 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
119 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
120 LI Rachel Y. 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% -
121 HSIUNG Samantha 100% 88% 41% 8% 1% -
122 LIU Michelle J. 100% 94% 61% 19% 3% -
123 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
124 BASSON Bayley D. 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
125 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 95% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
126 CUI Amy 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
127 HAYES Alyssa R. 100% 98% 75% 29% 5% -
128 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
129 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
130 LEE Bethanie 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
131 WILLIS Fletcher L. 100% 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
132 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 3%
133 MUELLER Tatum J. 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
134 DU Hannah 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
135 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
136 WANG Chloe 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
137 HO Rachel E. 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
138 YU Nicole J. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
139 KULKARNI Sohah A. 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
140 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 7% -
141 WELBORN Calissa 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
142 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
143 LONG Madeline M. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
144 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 98% 73% 30% 5%
145 UMAP Arna 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
146 YU Jaime L. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 6% -
147 TANG AI JIA 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
148 LIN Emma 100% 96% 69% 25% 4% - -
148 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
150 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 98% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
151 TAN Eden E. 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% - -
152 PANT Anisha 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
153 MI Anning 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
154 YU Lauren C. 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
154 MALHOTRA Simran 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
156 TOM Caitlyn 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
157 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
158 SU Michelle 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
159 RASO Olivia 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
159 BECCHINA Claire E. 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
161 CONVERSE Madilynn E. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
161 LIU Sophia 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11% 1%
163 KOKES Gwendolen 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
164 LIN Victoria T. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
164 LAM Victoria M. 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% - -
166 PAVE Claire 100% 91% 54% 17% 3% - -
167 SASSE Savitri A. 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
168 ZHAO Faith 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
168 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
170 RODRIGUEZ Akemi 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% -
171 TURNER Reese E. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
172 RUMMEL Katherine E. 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
173 DRACK Sarah M. 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
174 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 96% 65% 22% 3% -
175 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 75% 10% 1% - -
176 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
177 KNOPF Jenna G. 100% 33% 5% - - -
178 WOODY Chloe 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
179 WANG Catherine K. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
180 LUO Sandra J. 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
181 SHUM Elizabeth 100% 94% 60% 21% 3% - -
182 PERKINS Jazmin A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
182 UPTON Sydney 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
184 SHELTON Devyn 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
184 NOVIKOV Allegra 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
186 BHARATHI Maithreyi S. 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
186 LI Grace 100% 93% 65% 23% 3% - -
188 COOPER Piper W. 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
189 COX Sofia L. 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
190 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
191 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
192 SHINKAREV Olga 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
193 LI Angela 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
194 ZULUETA Catherine 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
195 WEBB Ella 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
195 LI Sophia M. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
197 ZHUANG Sophie 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% - -
198 HOANG Mai 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
199 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
200 FURST Chloe 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
201 SUNG Yoomin 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
202 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
203 GRAY Martha R. 100% 76% 26% 4% - - -
204 KENNEDY Elizabeth 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
205 GOLLNICK Mira 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
206 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
207 KNOEPFFLER ANDREA V. 100% 96% 52% 14% 2% -
208 BEAVER Kaitlyn 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
209 ROY Layla 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
210 WEI Vika 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
211 SCHUEPPERT Chloe M. 100% 37% 5% - - -
213 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
214 RAO Sonia D. 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
214 BAROCHIA Saatchi 100% 80% 43% 14% 3% - -
216 NOVIKOV Sienna 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
216 ZARE Yasmin 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
218 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
219 YU Riona 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
219 MASON-DARNELL Zoe 100% 35% 2% - - -
221 GUAN Grace 100% 11% - - - - -
221 PAN Anna 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
223 BEAVER Hannah 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
223 PARK Alexandria 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
225 LEVY Avery 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
225 OLSHANSKY Eliora S. 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
225 WALZ Olivia 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
228 MEYER Lily I. 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
228 SHEIN Evita 100% 38% 6% - - - -
228 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
231 HAMMER anya 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
232 GUHA Maya 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.