USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Women's Épée

Friday, July 5, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEANG Priscilla Y. - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
2 BENATER Lauren - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
3 UYANIK Nerine - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
3 JOBALIA Ria - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
5 PROVANCE Allison N. - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
6 GUMAGAY Erika L. - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
7 LEE Michelle - 2% 16% 38% 35% 10%
8 SMIK Leonie A. - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
9 LIN Katie Y. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
10 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
11 LEANG Andrea K. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
12 KOWALSKY Rachel A. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
13 MAYER Ingrid V. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
14 O'REILLY Aeryn E. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
15 HUH Anna - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
16 VANDERLINDEN Mira - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
17 BEI Karen - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
18 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
19 BROWN Amanda 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
20 BOTNER Olivia - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
21 GRESHAM Rebekah L. - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
22 DUNSEATH Lauren M. - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
23 SHAO Ariel 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
24 YAO Jillian - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
25 MCNEILL Claire A. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
26 AHUJA Arianna - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
27 PARTE Isabella B. 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 3% -
28 JI Catherine - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
29 JOHNSON Ryleigh E. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
30 SLACKMAN Valerie - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
31 SCHMUGAR Brooke 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
32 HAUK Zsofia F. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
33 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 1% 7% 37% 56%
34 TIMMONS Sarah J. - 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
35 ZHANG Rachel - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
36 SAAL Anna - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
37 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 11%
38 DICKINSON Alexandra P. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
39 SON Katherine (Injee) - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
40 PENSULA Sophia E. - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
41 DARANOUVONG Logan - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
42 SCHULTZ Michelle M. - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
43 KOKES Ava 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
44 PAN Michelle - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
45 WEISS Olivia - - 2% 12% 37% 39% 10%
46 BELSLEY Devon K. - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
47 MILEWSKI Nicole - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
48 KETKAR Mallika - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
48 LAVERY Chloe K. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5%
50 GIFFORD Emily R. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
50 LURYE Lina - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
52 SMUK Daria A. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
53 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
54 PEDERSEN Kari - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4%
55 PETITE Jenny 4% 18% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
56 BANKS Lauren M. 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
57 ADVINCULA Anabella E. - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
58 COVITZ Ashley A. 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
59 RASMUSSEN Ashelee - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
60 SPURLIN Alicen - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 1%
61 LEWIS Sophia - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
62 CHANG Ella 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
63 DING Sandra 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
64 EDWARDS Darby - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
65 HODGES Grace A. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 32% 12%
66 FOLEY Lauren - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 2%
66 GILBRETH Meghan G. - 2% 10% 24% 34% 24% 7%
68 LIN Julia L. - - 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
69 WONG Jalene L. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
70 ZHANG Rachel Q. 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% -
71 MYERS Helen Sophia A. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
72 BURN Lauren M. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 21%
73 SCHAFF Marlene M. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
73 GOLDBERG Sophie C. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
73 PRIOLEAU Isabel 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
73 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
77 PARK Ashley Y. 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
78 WILEY Erica - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
79 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. - 4% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
80 KWON Tiara 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
81 MAO Amy - 2% 20% 38% 29% 10% 1%
82 HENDRICK Heidi M. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
83 ZHAO Yingying - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
84 KIM Erika S. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
85 KIM Elizabeth Y. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
86 POPOVICI Astrid I. - - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
87 ZHU-HILL Alice A. 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
88 ZHANG Maya - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
89 CHOI Eunice - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
90 ROWLAND May 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
91 BIGGS Amelia F. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
92 BARR Abigail D. 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
93 NORCONK Claire R. - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
94 PARDO Sarah 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
95 CARVALHO Maia D. - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
96 ALVIDREZ Francesca A. - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
97 PRIMES Amanda M. 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
97 GAO Judy - 1% 6% 25% 42% 24% 3%
99 WAHLER Katie R. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
100 MENDEZ Melissa J. 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
101 BECCHINA Olivia - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
102 KENT Elizabeth J. 1% 10% 32% 38% 16% 2% -
103 DOWNARD Audrianna 4% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
104 SCHLIEP Anna J. - 4% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
105 OAKE Erica 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
106 BACH Caroline 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
107 JACOBSON Amelia 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
108 HSU Annabel 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
108 SZEWC Alexandra - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
110 ZHANG Nicole 12% 48% 31% 8% 1% - -
111 DONDISCH Sophia 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
112 KRAVITZ Sarah 9% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
113 PERALTA-VIRTUE Kamilla M. 3% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1%
114 JIANG Claire 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
115 SHAH Chloe 11% 37% 35% 15% 3% -
116 DE JAGER Celine - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
117 TOMASELLO Olivia E. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
118 MING Cynthia 6% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
119 MORIN Jenna 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
120 BOWIE Charlotta 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
121 CHAWLA Ishika 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
122 WANG Grace 7% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
123 LEE Calla 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
124 SAVINI Lorenza 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
125 EITZEN Carissa 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
126 TO Hang Minh 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
127 RHEA Heather 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
128 WEBER Nora 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
129 SIDDIQUI Ammna K. - 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
130 APPLEBEE Andralyn 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
131 XU Jessica 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
132 GROSSL Karina 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
133 DUAN Jenny S. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
134 FRIEDLANDER Sarah 9% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
135 SHERTZ Kira E. - 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
136 HUANG audrey 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
137 ARAYE Nasro 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
138 BYRON Karen J. 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
139 THORNTON Paula R. 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
140 OH Kaitlin Y. 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
141 MCGEE Sophia 13% 43% 33% 10% 1% -
142 BARBER Annalise 1% 15% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
143 LI Tiffany 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
144 MURDOCH ROY Grace 34% 46% 17% 2% - - -
145 ZHANG Ivyla 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
146 LOEHDE Sophie - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
147 NATSIOS Emily F. 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -
147 SAGE Kayla G. 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
149 RANDAZZO Meredith D. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
150 CAI Diane 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
150 LI Michelle 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
150 SHEN Danyating 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
153 SOIN Anika A. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
153 MILLARD Lily C. 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
155 CHEN Jephanie Y. 7% 24% 33% 24% 10% 2% -
156 LI AnnieSiliang 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
157 BONDAR Nika 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
157 WILLIAMS Sophia 5% 33% 40% 18% 3% - -
159 LYNN Heather D. 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
159 MAHAL Anya 59% 36% 5% - - - -
161 CHEN Hanna D. 9% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
162 RUMMEL Katherine E. 4% 19% 33% 29% 12% 3% -
163 BUCKLES Alexis A. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
164 MOK Chloe R. 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
165 WOODY Sophia 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
166 DILLARD Katlyn M. 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
167 LUNDEBJERG Katie 83% 16% 1% - - - -
167 WILLIAMS Stephanie 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
169 RIST Rebecca (Beck) J. 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
170 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
171 ENDERLE Alexis N. 5% 34% 39% 18% 4% - -
172 LONGSTREET Olivia 63% 32% 5% - - - -
173 WUNDERLICH Cara J. 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 5%
174 HAND Grace 45% 41% 13% 2% - -
175 LEE Anna 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
176 FALEY Alexis 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
177 DONOS Nicole 43% 41% 13% 2% - -
178 MAHAL Riya 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
179 WILLINGHAM Jacqueline 24% 60% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.