USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Men's Foil

Saturday, July 6, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Nicholas X - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
2 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
3 TSANG Matthew K. - - 1% 5% 24% 49% 21%
3 MEYERS Lee P. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
5 MCCORD Clark - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
6 CAI Oliver K. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
7 BAE Kevin - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
8 HAN Andersen Y. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
9 LIN Dashiell - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
10 DENYSE Jameson - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
11 ROUNTREE Rob - 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8%
12 HODESS Ethan - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
13 KAZA Nitish - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
14 MURUHIN Yaroslav - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
15 PIESNER Joshua C. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
16 MARSHALL Ian - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
17 QUINONES Diego A. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
18 SONG Leonardo T. - 1% 8% 28% 41% 20% 3%
19 BREIER Matthew F. - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
20 WONG NICHOLAS A. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
21 KULKARNI Ansh A. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
22 PELOSKY Zack B. - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
23 WANG Michael - 1% 6% 24% 41% 27% 2%
24 SOOD Kishan S. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
25 CHU Tristan L. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
26 AVRON Case B. - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
27 HOBSON Aaron K. 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
28 CLAY Jacob M. 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
29 AMICO Julian F. 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
30 FEDONCHIK Henry J. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
31 SMITH Brandon J. 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
32 KIM BANSEOK 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
33 CHEN Wilson - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
34 STRAYER Andrew - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
35 HAMMEL Blaine W. 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
36 DITTEL Aaron K. 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
37 NUNNINK Phillip W. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
38 HOWARD Michael - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 5%
39 MONTALBINE Aidan 6% 29% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
40 YU Jonathan J. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
41 CHITU Julian S. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
42 DESANDO Michael R. - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
42 XIAO Anthony - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
44 TAN Jacob J. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
45 WANG Duke R. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
46 LIN Frank J. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
47 ALIMI Yacine A. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
47 NEWELL Ian A. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
49 WILLIAMS Connor J. 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
49 LAO Scott E. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
51 SONG Dylan S. - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
52 SHIKHMAN Robert - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
53 FU Yifan - 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
54 CHO Jeremy Y. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
54 ANCONA Christopher - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
54 MACRAE Harrison A. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
57 MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M. 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
58 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
59 SWEENEY Quinn 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
60 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
61 NAGER Noah - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
62 SANTULLI Tristan - 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
63 ALDRICH Peter 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
64 SEAL Maximus R. 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
65 JOSEPH Willem - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
66 KLEIN Sebastian W. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
66 WOMACH Tristan 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
68 BICKFORD Michael S. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
69 WU Conrad J. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
70 GOLDADE Luke A. 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
71 FINLEY Dylan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
72 BERK Theodore - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
73 MILLER Aidan A. 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4% -
74 HILMER Michael - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
75 GATRELL Mitchell E. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
77 KITAGAWA Eric S. - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
78 BARTEL Jacob L. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
79 LAI Christopher W. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
79 EDWARDS Mark S. 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
81 CURTIS William K. - - 2% 12% 34% 39% 13%
82 DALBERG Leif - 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 7%
83 ANGLIN Benjamin S. 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
84 ASHIDA Tomoaki 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
84 STORKSON Aprizal F. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
84 NAM Michael 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% - -
87 DESOLA Aidan J. - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
88 YIM Alex 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
89 CLAYMAN John A. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
90 DENMAN Matthew L. 15% 34% 32% 15% 4% 1% -
91 SZELA Tom J. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
92 BRIEN Jeremy - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
93 TIAN Aaron C. - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
94 GALBAN Matthias L. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
95 LEE David Y. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
95 JIN Honggu - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
97 ZHAO Jesse 5% 23% 35% 25% 10% 2% -
98 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
99 COLWELL Alexander J. 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
100 SNYDER IV William B. 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
101 CHEN Felix 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
102 HAN Lawrence 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
103 SHYNKARUK Quinn 7% 37% 38% 16% 3% - -
104 TSAI Max W. - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
105 LANGEN Carter M. - - - 1% 10% 42% 47%
106 XIAO EDWARD - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
107 ENGEL Henry R. - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
108 KO Tyler B. 1% 6% 21% 34% 26% 10% 1%
108 GREENBAUM Andrew 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
110 NECECKAS Lucas - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
111 CABRERA Marco A. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
112 MO Jason 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5% -
113 XIE Javah - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
114 MCKINNEY Isaiah - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
115 WILLETT Luc G. 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
116 SCHENCK Theo 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
117 CAPUTO Paul M. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
118 INCHOCO William - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
119 MCKEVITT Conner M. 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
120 MAZUR Jacob - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
121 HSIUNG Richie - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
122 GATZA Logan - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
123 WITTENBERG Jackson H. - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
124 SPOSATO Luke B. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
125 GALLER Dave 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
126 HAMPTON Kistler 12% 35% 34% 15% 4% - -
127 ZACHARY Zane 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
128 LIM Charles Q. 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
129 SICHITIU Alexander - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
130 HUANG Joshua A. 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
131 BENDER Rhys T. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
131 JEFFERY Jakob 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
133 MCGRATH Sean L. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
134 MADDUX Lance A. 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
135 SCHAEFER Joshua M. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
136 PRIETO Julian 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
137 SOLIMAN Paul S. 1% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
138 MU Jeffrey 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
139 SUNG Chang-Han S. - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
140 MAGIDSON Gabriel - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
141 THORNTON Zachary 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
142 FINN Mark T. - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
143 MAHON Jacob - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
144 WADE Grayson 1% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
144 PRASANNA Advaith 25% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
144 ARRINGTON Creighton 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
147 WANG JONATHAN 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
148 FONG Erik 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
149 ANDERSON Christian - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
150 KUO Evan 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
151 WANG Gerald Y. 5% 20% 32% 27% 13% 3% -
152 HEALY Tyler 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
153 CHREKY Jacob D. - - 4% 19% 40% 30% 7%
154 DECKER Evan M. 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
154 MURATA Akitoshi D. 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
156 SINHA Verdhaan 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
157 KIM Derek A. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
157 MONTGOMERY Trey A. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
159 WOHLERS Casey 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% - -
160 WASDEN Andrew B. 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
161 DYCKMAN Andrew P. 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
161 DAUM Charlie 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
163 MONTAGUE Dante 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
164 SELIVANOV Adam 1% 8% 22% 32% 26% 11% 2%
165 AMRANI David 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
166 MILLER Duncan R. 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
167 HUANG Kevin D. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
168 BRUCE Roman 34% 42% 19% 4% 1% - -
169 GORDON Alexander (Sasha) 2% 21% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
170 BRYANT Max - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
171 CHEN Matthew 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
172 HOWARD Alexander 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
173 STONE Gregory R. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
174 YEE Johnathan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
175 FISHER Austin D. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
176 WILLIAMS Chris 10% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
177 TALLARICO Matthew 2% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
178 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
179 ORVANANOS Jorge 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
180 WALKER-JONES Ethan 7% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
181 UM Christian J. - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 7%
181 REDWOOD Peter - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
183 ROSSEN Michael 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
184 O'CONNOR Kristian 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
185 WEATHERINGTON Jude A. 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
186 FURST Matthew C. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
187 HAW Keith F. 6% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
187 MAGIDSON Josh 4% 26% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
189 CANO Diego A. 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
189 VIVEROS Evan 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
191 CHANG Kevin - 6% 23% 37% 27% 8% -
191 LOVIN Vlad 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
193 BURGOS patrick 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
193 WHITEHEAD Amir 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
195 VON KLAR Ryker 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
196 UZGIRIS Kovas - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
197 COLE Cayden 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
198 WOLCOTT Charlie A. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
199 SCHOFIELD Benjamin J. 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
200 BENNETT Joseph A. 41% 42% 14% 2% - - -
201 WORLEY Aren R. 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
202 GRISWOLD Doug 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
203 AIKEN Nicholas A. 2% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
204 WEIMER Grant 66% 29% 5% - - - -
205 KIM Chaemin 59% 34% 7% 1% - - -
206 WANG Waley 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
207 BOLD Timothy 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
208 DE JAGER Robert 12% 37% 34% 14% 3% - -
208 CONWAY Brett 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
208 LEYLAND John 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
211 LANNAMAN Connor 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
211 CLARK Joseph 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
213 JONES Nate 9% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
215 KUO Chris C. 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
215 DAVIS Greg 64% 32% 4% - - - -
215 TANNER Hayden 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.