USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Men's Foil

Saturday, July 6, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Nicholas X 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
2 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
3 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 21%
3 MEYERS Lee P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
5 MCCORD Clark 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
6 CAI Oliver K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
7 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
8 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
9 LIN Dashiell 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
10 DENYSE Jameson 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
11 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
12 HODESS Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
13 KAZA Nitish 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
14 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
15 PIESNER Joshua C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
16 MARSHALL Ian 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
17 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
18 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3%
19 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
20 WONG NICHOLAS A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
21 KULKARNI Ansh A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 7%
22 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
23 WANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 2%
24 SOOD Kishan S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
25 CHU Tristan L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
26 AVRON Case B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
27 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
28 CLAY Jacob M. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 17% 3%
29 AMICO Julian F. 100% 99% 95% 76% 44% 14% 2%
30 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
31 SMITH Brandon J. 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
32 KIM BANSEOK 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
33 CHEN Wilson 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
34 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
35 HAMMEL Blaine W. 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
36 DITTEL Aaron K. 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
37 NUNNINK Phillip W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
38 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
39 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 94% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
40 YU Jonathan J. 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
41 CHITU Julian S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 23%
42 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
42 XIAO Anthony 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
44 TAN Jacob J. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
45 WANG Duke R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
46 LIN Frank J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
47 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
47 NEWELL Ian A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
49 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
49 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
51 SONG Dylan S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 50% 13%
52 SHIKHMAN Robert 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
53 FU Yifan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
54 CHO Jeremy Y. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
54 ANCONA Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
54 MACRAE Harrison A. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
57 MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M. 100% 97% 80% 50% 21% 5% -
58 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
59 SWEENEY Quinn 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 2% -
60 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
61 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
62 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
63 ALDRICH Peter 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
64 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
65 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
66 KLEIN Sebastian W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
66 WOMACH Tristan 100% 97% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
68 BICKFORD Michael S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
69 WU Conrad J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
70 GOLDADE Luke A. 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
71 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
72 BERK Theodore 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
73 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4% -
74 HILMER Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
75 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
77 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 58% 25% 5%
78 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
79 LAI Christopher W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
79 EDWARDS Mark S. 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
81 CURTIS William K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
82 DALBERG Leif 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
83 ANGLIN Benjamin S. 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
84 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
84 STORKSON Aprizal F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
84 NAM Michael 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
87 DESOLA Aidan J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
88 YIM Alex 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
89 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
90 DENMAN Matthew L. 100% 85% 51% 20% 5% 1% -
91 SZELA Tom J. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
92 BRIEN Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
93 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
94 GALBAN Matthias L. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
95 LEE David Y. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
95 JIN Honggu 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
97 ZHAO Jesse 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
98 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
99 COLWELL Alexander J. 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
100 SNYDER IV William B. 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 10% 1%
101 CHEN Felix 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
102 HAN Lawrence 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
103 SHYNKARUK Quinn 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% - -
104 TSAI Max W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
105 LANGEN Carter M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
106 XIAO EDWARD 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
107 ENGEL Henry R. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
108 KO Tyler B. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
108 GREENBAUM Andrew 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
110 NECECKAS Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
111 CABRERA Marco A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
112 MO Jason 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
113 XIE Javah 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
114 MCKINNEY Isaiah 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
115 WILLETT Luc G. 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
116 SCHENCK Theo 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
117 CAPUTO Paul M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
118 INCHOCO William 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
119 MCKEVITT Conner M. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
120 MAZUR Jacob 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
121 HSIUNG Richie 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
122 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
123 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
124 SPOSATO Luke B. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
125 GALLER Dave 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
126 HAMPTON Kistler 100% 88% 53% 20% 4% - -
127 ZACHARY Zane 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
128 LIM Charles Q. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
129 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
130 HUANG Joshua A. 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
131 BENDER Rhys T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
131 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
133 MCGRATH Sean L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
134 MADDUX Lance A. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
135 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
136 PRIETO Julian 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
137 SOLIMAN Paul S. 100% 99% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
138 MU Jeffrey 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
139 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
140 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
141 THORNTON Zachary 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
142 FINN Mark T. 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
143 MAHON Jacob 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
144 WADE Grayson 100% 99% 80% 44% 15% 3% -
144 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 75% 36% 11% 2% - -
144 ARRINGTON Creighton 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
147 WANG JONATHAN 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 14% 2%
148 FONG Erik 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
149 ANDERSON Christian 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
150 KUO Evan 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
151 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
152 HEALY Tyler 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
153 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 7%
154 DECKER Evan M. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
154 MURATA Akitoshi D. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
156 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
157 KIM Derek A. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
157 MONTGOMERY Trey A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
159 WOHLERS Casey 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
160 WASDEN Andrew B. 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
161 DYCKMAN Andrew P. 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
161 DAUM Charlie 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
163 MONTAGUE Dante 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
164 SELIVANOV Adam 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%
165 AMRANI David 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
166 MILLER Duncan R. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
167 HUANG Kevin D. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
168 BRUCE Roman 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
169 GORDON Alexander (Sasha) 100% 98% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
170 BRYANT Max 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
171 CHEN Matthew 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
172 HOWARD Alexander 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
173 STONE Gregory R. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
174 YEE Johnathan 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
175 FISHER Austin D. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
176 WILLIAMS Chris 100% 90% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
177 TALLARICO Matthew 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
178 GOING Nicholas (Nick) S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5%
179 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
180 WALKER-JONES Ethan 100% 93% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
181 UM Christian J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 7%
181 REDWOOD Peter 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
183 ROSSEN Michael 100% 88% 52% 18% 4% - -
184 O'CONNOR Kristian 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
185 WEATHERINGTON Jude A. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
186 FURST Matthew C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 3%
187 HAW Keith F. 100% 94% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
187 MAGIDSON Josh 100% 96% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
189 CANO Diego A. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
189 VIVEROS Evan 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
191 CHANG Kevin 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8% -
191 LOVIN Vlad 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
193 BURGOS patrick 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
193 WHITEHEAD Amir 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
195 VON KLAR Ryker 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
196 UZGIRIS Kovas 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
197 COLE Cayden 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
198 WOLCOTT Charlie A. 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
199 SCHOFIELD Benjamin J. 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
200 BENNETT Joseph A. 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
201 WORLEY Aren R. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
202 GRISWOLD Doug 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
203 AIKEN Nicholas A. 100% 98% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
204 WEIMER Grant 100% 34% 5% - - - -
205 KIM Chaemin 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
206 WANG Waley 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
207 BOLD Timothy 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
208 DE JAGER Robert 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
208 CONWAY Brett 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
208 LEYLAND John 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
211 LANNAMAN Connor 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
211 CLARK Joseph 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
213 JONES Nate 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% - -
215 KUO Chris C. 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
215 DAVIS Greg 100% 36% 5% - - - -
215 TANNER Hayden 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.