Make It Matter for Matt Fundraiser!

Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 12, 2019 at 11:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
1 GERRITY Tommy A. - - - - - - - - - 1% 3% 7% 14% 21% 23% 18% 10% 3% -
2 OFFUTT Tyler T. - - - - - - - - - - 1% 2% 6% 12% 20% 24% 20% 11% 4% 1%
3 WEBER Juliana I. - - - - - - - - - 1% 4% 9% 16% 21% 21% 16% 8% 3% 1% -
4 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - - - - 2% 5% 10% 17% 21% 19% 14% 8% 3% 1% - - - - -
5 WEBER Mattias A. - - - - - 1% 4% 9% 16% 21% 21% 15% 8% 3% 1% - - - -
6 MEDVEDEVA Alexandra - - - 1% 2% 6% 12% 18% 21% 18% 12% 6% 2% 1% - - - - -
7 GRYCIUK Koby - - 1% 3% 8% 14% 20% 21% 16% 10% 5% 2% - - - - - - - -
8 HORAN Alexa - - - 1% 4% 9% 16% 20% 20% 15% 9% 4% 1% - - - - - - -
9 SULLIVAN Kate - - 3% 10% 20% 26% 23% 13% 4% 1% - - -
10 NIELSEN Dianna M. - - - 2% 7% 17% 26% 25% 15% 6% 1% - -
11 CUSUMANO Neal - 1% 6% 15% 25% 25% 17% 7% 2% - - - -
12 GULLO Ethan B. - - 1% 5% 13% 23% 26% 19% 9% 3% - -
13 BIRNSTILL Reese 1% 7% 18% 26% 24% 15% 6% 2% - - - - -
14 GIORDANO Nicholas - 1% 5% 14% 23% 25% 18% 9% 3% 1% - - -
15 O'BRIEN Michelle L. 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
17 VALADEZ Elizabeth 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 12% 2%
18 EMERSON Scott 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
19 DICANIO Gianna 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
20 RUTHERIG Kaylin 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
21 LOSQUADRO Joseph 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.