Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, October 8, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 3% -
2 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
3 WOODWARD Connor 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
3 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
5 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
6 FENG Leo 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
7 MORRILL William 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
8 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
9 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 98% 87% 61% 30% 8% 1%
10 MALONE Gregory D. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
11 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22%
12 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
13 LEE Justin 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
14 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
15 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
16 SHOMAN Noah 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% 1%
17 CARTAGENA Caden A. 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
18 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
19 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 95% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
20 WANG Robert 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
21 GAO Andrew 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
22 SULLIVAN Aidan J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
23 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
24 MAY Griffin M. 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
25 KAYLAKOV Maxim 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
26 GARDNER Sebastian 100% 98% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
27 HU Christopher 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
28 SU Landon 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
29 LEE Aydan J. 100% 60% 14% 1% - - -
30 YEE Ethan C. 100% 95% 74% 41% 15% 3% -
31 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
32 LARRAZOLO Vincent 100% 70% 20% 3% - - -
33 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
34 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
35 GUREVICH Savely 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.