Event Results

Y-12 Men's Saber

The Cascade Clash SYCPool Heatmap

Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM Northwest Fencing Center · Tigard, OR, USA
32 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
2 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
3 WANG James 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 31%
3 CHUNG Evan 100% 100% 97% 76% 32%
5 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 38%
6 LAI Mars 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 29%
7 CHANG Allen 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% -
8 ZHENG Matt 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
9 GALANG Aiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
10 YANG Aegon 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
11 SHARPE Harrison Missing ID
12 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
12 SEVERT David 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 9% 1%
14 PAN Wesley 100% 98% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
15 LEE Albert 100% 98% 81% 45% 12% 1%
16 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
17 JI Derek 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
18 QIAO Jason 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
19 CHEN Donovan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
20 CHEN Brandon 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
21 LEWIS Isaac 100% 97% 75% 34% 6%
22 JIAO Lawrence 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
23 WOO Jonathan 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
24 KIM ZOLLER Jude 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
25 BABIK Eli 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
26 XIE Ryan 100% 92% 56% 17% 2%
27 ZHEN Felix 100% 96% 75% 35% 6% -
28 HORIKAWA Xander 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 3% -
29 LUO Nathan 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
30 CAI Lucas 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
31 LI Austin 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
32 MA Garrison 100% 48% 10% 1% -