San Jose, CA - San Jose, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SHIN Joshua | V V V V V V | V V V V V | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 2 | CANDELA Nicholas | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| 3 | MENEGOLI Lorenzo | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 3 | KIM PAUL | V V D V V | V V V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 5 | SCRIBNER Aidan C. | V D V V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 6 | LEVY Zachari I. | V V D V V V | V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 7 | AU Marcus J. | V V D V V D | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 8 | COOPER Rowan | D V D D V V | V V V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 9 | CAI Kevin P. | V V V V V D | V D | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| 10 | VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. | V V D V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 11 | SHUR Yakov C. | V V V V V D | V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 12 | ROBINSON Riley | D V V V V D | V D | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| 13 | LUCERO-OLSON Aydin | V V D D V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 14 | JOSEPH Abey | V V D V D V | V V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 15 | DORRELL Connor I. | V V V D D D | V V D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 16 | RAJPAL Sartaj S. | D V D V D | V V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 17 | SHARMA Sanil | V V V V V V | D | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| 18 | MIELE Benjamin | V V V V V D | D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 19 | SIVAGAR Leo | V D V D V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 20 | LIU Kirk D. | V D V V V D | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 21 | JEON Alexander E. | D V V V D V | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 22 | ZIEBART Jeremy J. | V D V D V V | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 23 | VELUVALI Vivek S. | D D V V V D | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 24 | DUONG Enoch | D V D V D V | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 25 | KIM Benjamin I. | D V V V D D | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 26 | DE JONG Thijmen J. | D V V D D | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 27 | ANDERSON Elias W. | D D D V V | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 28 | SHAMIS Mark | D V D V D D | V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 29 | PALLI Maximillian | D D D V V D | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 30 | WONG Nathan | D D V D D V | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 31 | POPOVICI Andrew E. | D V D D D D | V D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 32 | KOH Tommy | D D D D D V | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 33 | ALVAREZ Ian T. | V D V D V D | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 34 | GARRETT Samuel | D V V D D V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 35 | RAKHIMI Marat T. | V D V D D V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 36 | CHON Joshua | V D D V V D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 37 | MA Victor | D D V D D V | D | 0.5 | 2 | +1.5 |
| 38 | ARABACI Jack A. | V D D V D D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 39 | LOUIE Jason | V D D D V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 40 | HE Jason | V D V D D D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 41 | LIANG Aaron | D D D D V D | D | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| 42 | SHOEMAKER Thomas P. | D D D D D V | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 43 | STENNIS Brendan | D D D D D V | D | 0.8 | 1 | +0.2 |
| 44 | LOWE-THORPE Tyler | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 45 | PELAYO Raphael | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 46 | HAINES Reagan | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 47 | MILEY Nick N. | D D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 47 | WANG Andrew | D D D D D D | D | 0.0 | 0 | - |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.