Event Results

Div I Elite Men's Saber

October NACPool Heatmap

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM Orange County Convention Center · Orlando, FL, USA
114 finishers
Birth year

Win Distribution

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the probability of finishing with that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ERMAKOV Semeon - 4% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
2 LI Howard - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
3 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - - 2% 20% 77%
3 SARON Mitchell S. - - - - 1% 14% 86%
5 HOMER Daryl D. - - - - - 8% 91%
6 LEE Noah 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
7 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - 2% 10% 27% 40% 22%
8 HOLZ Daniel - - 1% 8% 26% 43% 22%
9 ANTHONY Devyn V. - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
10 PRIMUS Nazir - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
11 GUFFEY Christopher 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
12 HUANG Alex F. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
13 PAN Jerry - - 1% 6% 23% 44% 27%
14 TSE Aiden J - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
15 ELARABY Mazen - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
16 BERRIO Carter E. - 3% 14% 34% 37% 13% -
17 BEN AVRAM Lev - - - 2% 14% 39% 44%
18 ESCUETA Tony V. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
19 SHOMAN Noah - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2%
20 CHOI Silas - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
21 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
22 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11% -
23 TENG MATTHEW 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
24 HUANG Ethan F. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
25 JI Cody Walter - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
26 YAN William 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
27 SIERADZKY Dawson - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
28 ASLAN Tolga - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
29 HWANG Jayden 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
30 JOO Jeein - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 4%
31 TE VELDE Noah C. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
32 KANG Evan R. 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
33 LIM William J. - 1% 7% 27% 46% 19%
34 SKEETE Kamar A. - - - 2% 12% 38% 47%
35 KIM Shaun M. - - 4% 17% 35% 34% 10%
36 KANG Matthew 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
37 NG Jonathan - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
38 ZHAO Lucas 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
39 DESROSIERS Olivier - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
40 SCHARDINE James 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
41 KIM Kendrick 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
42 CARRINGTON IV William T. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
42 KITSON Chase 11% 32% 36% 17% 4% - -
44 YANG Phillip 3% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1%
45 WANG Tiger 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
46 FIGUEREDO Adrian - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
47 CIEMINS Henry 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
48 LIN Maxim 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
49 ANDRES Michael 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
50 NORRIS Roman - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
51 ROBINSON William 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
52 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - 3% 17% 41% 36% 3%
53 KIM Ethan 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
54 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
55 HOLZ Lucas 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
56 CHEONG Heonjun 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
57 HENDERSON Lucas 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
58 WOOD Elden S. - - 2% 12% 43% 43%
59 RIGHTLER Samuel 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
60 LUKASHENKO Darii - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
61 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
62 CHON Collin 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
63 LAUB William 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
64 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% - -
65 CAO Oliver 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
66 RAMANAN Govind 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
67 CHAVES Matthew J. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
68 HONG Rubin - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 1%
69 LI Yiwei 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
70 GONG Alex 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
70 BIVIJI Ali 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
72 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
73 YEN Darren - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
74 KOVALEV Daniil N. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
75 CAO Donald 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
76 WANG Nicolas - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
77 PINTO Marcus 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
78 PORTER Dupree 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
79 GONZALEZ Jake 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
80 LIN Daniel - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
81 SANCHEZ Jacob 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
82 WANG Samuel 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
82 AGARWAAL Yohan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
84 ALAVE Kyle 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
85 HJERPE Wade H. 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
86 OH Aster 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
87 IYER Neil 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
88 WANG Daniel 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
88 JI Johnson 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
90 ZHANG Kaixuan 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
91 LIN Philip T. 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
92 FALCON-KORB Mathis 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1% -
93 KUSHKOV Daniel 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
93 TSAO Oliver 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
93 SANGSTER Arden 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
96 CHAMBERS Miles 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
97 WESLER Logan A. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
98 DENNER Max P. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
99 KIM ELIJAH 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
100 CHUNG Connor 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
101 BAI Evan 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
102 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
103 LI Ayden 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
104 CHEN Jonathan 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
105 LEE Brian 20% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
106 WEI Rian 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5% -
107 LUCAS William 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
108 VAID Luke 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
108 TOZZI Massimo 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
110 BOOTH Zaheer - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
111 GREMILLION Obadiah 20% 41% 29% 9% 2% - -
112 RAMANAN Jaisimh 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
113 LI Alex Y. 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
114 BARTOLO Domenic V. 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -