December NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Friday, December 14, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORAIS Paulo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
2 MION Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
3 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 30%
3 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
5 BOLTON Lucas R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
6 ROBINSON Keegan B. 100% 100% 96% 65% 23% 3%
7 ANDERSON David C. 100% 100% 89% 53% 16% 2%
8 LARGAESPADA LUIS V. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
9 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
10 LEE Chris 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 18%
11 FERNANDES Zain 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
12 WANG Michael 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
13 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
15 MANGE Nathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 13%
16 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
17 MESSINESE Brando 100% 100% 99% 93% 61% 16%
18 KONG Kenneth 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
19 MCKINNEY Isaiah 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
20 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 97% 76% 33% 5% - -
21 HSIUNG Richie 100% 99% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
22 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
24 ESTEVES Dionel L. 100% 93% 54% 15% 2% -
25 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 99% 88% 49% 11% 1%
26 ARTIS Tre D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 14% 1%
27 MANGE Andrew (Andrew Mange) E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
28 JANSEN Jesse 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2% -
29 WANG Duke R. 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
30 HARDMAN III Harry C. 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
31 LO Hung Yui 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
32 ANGLIN Benjamin S. 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% -
33 SON Eric 100% 100% 91% 60% 21% 2%
34 ZHANG Thales 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
35 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 100% 98% 78% 36% 7% -
36 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9% 1%
37 SANCHEZ Leon D. 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
38 LEYLAND John 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
39 MCINTOSH Michael 100% 96% 71% 29% 5% -
40 WILBERT Matt 100% 73% 28% 4% - -
41 DENMAN Matthew L. 100% 89% 51% 16% 2% -
43 VO Jonathan 100% 56% 14% 1% - - -
44 PELAN Justin D. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
45 GREEN Zachary J. 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% -
46 GREEN Scott D. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
48 UPTON Craig 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
49 KIRSHNER Ronald 100% 47% 8% - - -
50 AMES Tucker 100% 91% 60% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.