January NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Friday, January 4, 2019 at 10:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
2 DAROIAN Emon 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
3 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 KARYCHENKO Maksym 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
5 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
5 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
7 WILSON Sean H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
8 COLE Elias R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
9 HSIEH JAROV Seraphim 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49%
10 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
11 CAMPBELL Daniel R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
12 SANTOS Cameron A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
13 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
14 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
15 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
16 NGUYEN Ethan D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
17 WANG Bowen 100% 100% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
18 TEMIRYAEV Alan L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
19 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
20 SHIFRON Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
20 VINNITCHOUK Ted 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
22 MECKE Cedric 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
23 BOGERT Alexander BRYCE (Bryce) 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
24 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
25 KUMASHI Mihir R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
26 MATVEEV Valentin S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
27 WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
28 MA Ark 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
29 MERCHANT Reza H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
30 HONDOR Robert D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
31 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
32 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
33 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 7%
34 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
35 MALDONADO Julian A. 100% 96% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
36 DEGUCHI Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
37 KIM Derek D. 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
38 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
39 GRIFFITHS Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
40 MILAM Hugh 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 14%
41 KIMATIAN Harrison J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
42 BISSINGER Michael P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
43 VOLKMANN Daniel R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
44 LAURON Sean M. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
45 CHOO Joseph W. 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
46 RA Jr. Daniel M. 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
47 LEE Aaron Y. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
48 KIM Ethan S. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
49 CANDREVA Hunter R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
50 BEKKER Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
51 YU Arthur K. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
52 SHINHOLSTER Michael J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
53 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8% 1%
54 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
55 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 86% 50% 15% 2%
56 PROCTOR Oliver L. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
57 ZHANG Matthew 100% 93% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
57 DAVIES Morgan 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
59 LEE Woosuk 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
60 PARK Thomas Junseo 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
61 WOLF Myles J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 48% 16% 2%
62 KULAGA Peter C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
63 PLUMER Jack E. 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% 1%
64 PAVLENISHVILI David G. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
65 HERBST Isaac L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 40%
66 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
67 CHMUT Anton 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
68 RAYLE Evan K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
69 LEE Ryan 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
70 VAYSBERG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
71 CHA Russell W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
72 HAN Matthew 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
73 BOGERT James BRETT (Brett) 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
74 YU Colin 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
74 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
76 VAG-URMINSKY Paul F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
77 MILLER Finn S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
78 MALIASSOV Nikita S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 23%
79 BANYON-MRAK Aiden J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
80 HAIDER Syed Mikail 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
81 PETROLL Jared P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 5%
82 POST Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
83 KEHOE James E. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
84 HILLYER Rourke W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
85 HILBERT Xavier 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
86 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
87 FELKER Jared L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
88 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
89 KOZLOWSKI Matthew K. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 1%
90 CHILANA Udaypaul (Paul) 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
91 YUNG Zheng 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
92 ZACHARAKIS Demetri K. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
93 FRANK Timmy 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
94 LIN Jack 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
95 GHAZALEH Thomas Xavier 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
95 JEONG Connor 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
97 SILVER Cameron 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
98 ARMSTRONG James G. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
98 KADYSZEWSKI Mateo 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
100 SZABO Benedek H. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
101 GAIDAR Daniel B. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
102 KAMBESELES Peter G. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
103 NOSIL Andrew S. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
104 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
105 MCKINLEY Liam K. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
106 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
107 GORDON Reis J. 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 3% -
108 LEE Andrew O. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
109 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 16% 2%
110 SINAI Nathan G. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
111 MIELE Benjamin 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
112 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 99% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1%
113 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
114 ELLIS Yehia S. 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
115 MUN Michael K. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
116 DINKINS Ramadan 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 2%
117 ZHANG Joshua 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
118 PICARD Christopher (Chris) W. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
119 MARKHAM Jimmy 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% -
120 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
120 TAE William G. 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
122 ASHER Jacob 100% 96% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
123 DANZIG Jacob S. 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
124 MOGILEVICH Michael 100% 95% 71% 29% 4% - -
125 WOZNIAK David 100% 98% 81% 45% 15% 3% -
126 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 96% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
127 CUMMINGS Kai W. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
128 MALYSZ Anthony J. 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
129 BAKER Kevin G. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 5% -
130 COMER Daniel T. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
131 BUTLER Tylen A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
132 SMITH William K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 20%
133 GASPAROVICH IV George M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
134 CAPELLUA Tommaso 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
135 LEE Timothy S. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
136 LI Jason Man Kit 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
137 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
138 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 22%
139 KANG Michael H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
140 DE JONG Thijmen J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
141 MAURER Chip (Charles) P. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
142 JAMES IV EJ (Edward) W. 100% 100% 83% 44% 12% 1%
143 GRAMS Steven 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
144 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4%
145 REID Avo 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
146 WERRELL Jack 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
147 LEIGH David A. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
148 BRUCE Roman 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
149 LEVY Zachari I. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
150 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
151 XIAN Riley 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
152 BOWERMAN Lucas A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
153 WEISSMAN Kai E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
154 MASON Alexander T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
155 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3%
156 CHILANA Savitoz (Savi) 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3% -
156 YAN yuheng 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
158 CHAUDHRY Rafay 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
159 RUSSANOV Boris J 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
160 FREEMAN Daniel H. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
160 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
160 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
163 DIXON Samuel 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
165 SINGH Arnav 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
166 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
166 ADAMIAN Nathaniel S. 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
168 PARK Minchan 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% - -
169 KIM Ethan J. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
170 LABROZZI Aidan 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
171 LEI Joshua 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 4%
172 ZHU Wilson 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
173 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4%
174 ALAIMO Charles 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
175 STOTT Donovan R. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
176 STEVENS James F. 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
177 CARVALHO Daniel S. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3%
178 BEIQUE-SIMMONS Henri Liam 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
179 HSING Lucas W. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
179 ATANAS Matthew M. 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
181 HUGHES Levi H. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
182 WANG Nathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
183 ZEFF Mati 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
184 SHIN Joshua 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
185 GANA Thomas A. 100% 97% 82% 53% 22% 5% -
186 FULMER Andrew J. 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2% -
186 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
188 DANIEL Camron 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
189 LEE Matthew C. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
189 MAENG Jake W. 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
189 CHEN Eric Y. 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 5% -
192 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 4%
193 KIM Minjun 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
194 MALENFANT Vincent 100% 98% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
195 VERNACHIO Anthony 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
196 BAGHA Armin 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
197 SITBON-TAYLOR Daniel J. 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
198 GILBRETH Geoffrey (Chance) 100% 76% 29% 5% - - -
199 MA Anthony 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
200 RYJIKOV Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
201 ROLLERT Griffen S. 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
202 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
202 WOZNIAK Sebastian 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
202 LEI Jacob 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
202 SIROKY Michael 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
206 LUKANYUK Lorence 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
207 KAMBESELES Jack M. 100% 100% 87% 50% 14% 1%
208 FRUEH Samuel J. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
209 MANCINI Christopher M. 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
210 YI Kyle 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
211 YOON Nathan 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
212 GRANGER-HOTTE Olivier 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
213 XIAN Ryan 100% 97% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
213 MU Lejia 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
215 JAMES Samuel 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
216 MOON Ryan Y. 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
217 INSLER Gabriel C. 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
218 LENDER David 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
218 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
220 CHEN Gabriel 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
220 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
222 RITCHIE Patrick Q. 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
222 ROETH Liam 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
224 BODON Michele I. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
224 GARRISON Andrew T. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% - -
226 BOYLAN Jack (I Spy) 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
227 JUNG Ho(Daniel) (Daniel) Y. 100% 90% 56% 19% 4% - -
227 PARAMESH Dhilan R. 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
229 BEACH Nicholas 100% 87% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
230 HAN David 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
231 STUBBLEFIELD Alexander 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
232 BRENNAN Charles F. 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
233 YANG Ge (Kevin) 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
234 CHON Thierry 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
235 TODREAS Simon 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
236 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
237 RODNEY Maxwell 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
238 DAVIS Matthew D. 100% 5% - - - -
239 NG Alexander M. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
240 ROMERO Caleb E. 100% 35% 5% - - - -
241 COHEN Jared E. 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
242 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
243 COMBS Colson 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
244 YOON Sungho 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
245 GARCIA Christopher W. 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
246 BROWN Nathan P. 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
247 JORDAN Jonathan ". 100% 75% 30% 6% - - -
247 PARK Jong-Eun 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
249 MORGENSTERN Elliot H. 100% 71% 25% 4% - - -
249 GLECKNER Aidan 100% 87% 47% 12% 1% - -
251 GUNDUBOGULA Raj 100% 72% 16% 2% - - -
252 ZHENG Yuanlong (Bill) 100% 83% 47% 17% 4% - -
252 YANG Taeyoung 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
254 SALISBURY Cary 100% 72% 27% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.