January NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Saturday, January 5, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
2 KIEFER Axel M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
3 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
3 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 42%
5 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
6 MARINO Joseph A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
7 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
8 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
9 BROSZUS Blake J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 20%
10 TOURETTE Geoffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
11 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
12 BRAVO Kenji U. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
13 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
14 LI Michael C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
15 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
16 SCRUGGS Nolen P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
17 KANESHIGE Brian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
18 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
19 PAIK Joon K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 20%
20 ANDRADE Nicholas H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 26%
21 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
22 KOZAK Mateusz 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
23 IVERSON Shane D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
23 LI Brian H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
25 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
25 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
27 HUANG Bin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
28 TIERNEY David A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
29 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
30 GRONNINGSATER Eoin P. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 2%
31 CHEN Earnest P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
32 TIRADO Sebastian (Sebi) 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
33 CHENG Julian 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
34 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
35 MOELIS Samuel (Sam) D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
36 BONTEMS Pierre-Olivier 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
36 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 4%
38 LEVY Jasper 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
39 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 3%
40 MACHOVEC Andrew C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
41 GRUBER Samuel T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
42 SCARPA Ryan N. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
43 PARKINS Benjamin B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 7%
44 ANTIPAS Michael C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
44 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 21%
46 COLON Cesar L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
47 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
48 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 40%
49 ZHENG Andrew R. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
50 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
51 RHEINGANS-YOO Duncan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
52 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
53 OSTATNIGROSH Andrey 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
54 ORTS Lucas E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
54 REYNOLDS Tyler C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
56 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 57% 14%
57 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
58 POON Alvin 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
59 KNIGHT Ethan H. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
60 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
61 DUBE Charles-Hugo 100% 82% 36% 7% 1% - -
62 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 7%
63 DING Allan 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 5% -
64 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
65 HADLER Benjamin N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
66 SCONZO Owen A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24% 2%
67 KNODT Julian P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
68 LEVY Cameron 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
69 SHIH Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
70 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
71 GAUDREAU-POLLENDER Julien 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
72 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
73 OURSLER Jack 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
74 TULYAG Fyze A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 16%
75 RANADIVE Rishi R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
76 BAE Anthony 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
77 HU Oliver W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
78 HOLMES Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
78 YEE Maxwell J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
80 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
81 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% -
82 DONG Darren 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
83 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
84 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 4%
84 REID Clayton J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
86 IRVINE Jonathan J. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
87 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
87 WONG Robert (Bobby) B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
89 DAYTON Draper 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
90 JOHNSON Cole B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
91 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
92 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
92 BRATTON Jack S. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
94 URODOVSKIKH Evan 100% 90% 60% 27% 7% 1% -
94 PRINCE Nicholas J. 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
96 ADLER Ian B. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
97 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
98 WANG Christopher M. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
99 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
100 POON Simon 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
101 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. 100% 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
102 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
103 MANNAN Zohaib 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
104 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
105 MORGAN Quinlyn (Quin) D. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
106 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
107 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 28% 5%
108 JACOBS Tyler M. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
109 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% -
110 PAIK Hyun K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 13%
111 PELOSKY Ryan F. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
112 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
113 BOJANOV Boris 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
114 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
114 KUNZ Bernard (Benny) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
116 HELTON Noah 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
116 BARLETTA Joseph 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
118 OUELLETTE David M. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
119 LU Kerry L. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
119 SAULYS Christopher A. 100% 96% 75% 34% 9% 1% -
121 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
122 ALTER Joseph G. 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
123 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
124 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
125 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
126 SLEDESKI Andrew 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% - -
127 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
128 CAPLIN Aubrey R. 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
129 RUSHING Brycen C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
130 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
132 ROMANOV Michael 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
133 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 23%
134 GRIFFITH Jordan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
135 MEJIA-RUIZ Gabriel 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
136 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 28% 4%
137 ROSARIO III Felipe 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 13% 1%
138 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
139 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
139 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 14%
139 CAI Alex 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
142 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
143 PAZ Ethan 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
144 MULLIGAN James 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
145 SAMORA Jose G. 100% 99% 91% 64% 30% 7% 1%
145 SPEVAK Alexander 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
147 LAW Robert C. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
148 WU Albert 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
149 YU Vinni 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
149 HAY Gavin 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
151 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
152 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 99% 90% 60% 25% 6% -
153 JEON Nathan S. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
155 SENIC Anatolie 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% 1%
155 SHI Shenzhi 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
157 WOODS Jack H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
158 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
158 VAN HAASTER Emile A. 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
160 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 14%
161 JALOWICA Brandon 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
162 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
162 LIMA Gabriel M. 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
164 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
165 KOECK Tomas E. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
166 FIELD Miles 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
167 ADLER David R. 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
168 HONG Daniel 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
169 TESCHE Askhat D. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
170 COZINE Owen N. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
171 LI Simon A. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
172 GU Jeffrey 100% 95% 67% 27% 6% - -
173 CHU Derek 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
174 LI Edward 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
175 FORTNER Lance R. 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
176 ANDERSON Colton J. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
177 LEVIN Nestor R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
177 SPIRLI Francesco 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
179 HUTH Jacob 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
180 GRANT Lachlan K. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12% 1%
181 ROSSELLO Gustavo J. 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
182 LEWIS Paul D. 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
183 KO Brian J. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
184 FEVRY Julian Briel 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
185 MURRAY Thomas J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23% 3%
185 LIMA Kevin M. 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
187 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 84% 48% 15% 2% - -
187 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
187 JANG Jaewon 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% 1%
190 JORAM Jacob P. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
191 UM Ethan A. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 6% -
192 LESNIKOV Kirel 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
192 DAVID Maxime 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
194 MAYER Cam C. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
195 MAURER Ned (John) E. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
195 GUPTA Eashan 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
197 O'BRIEN Jack K. 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
197 LI Alex 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
199 LOVERAS Orlando S. 100% 98% 79% 41% 10% 1% -
200 FLANAGAN James 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
200 CHOUN Minwook (Sam) 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5% -
202 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
202 MAO Connor 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
204 MA Alexander 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
205 RICCIO Frank J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 6%
206 OH Samuel H. 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
207 POLANSKY Solomon 100% 78% 33% 7% 1% - -
208 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
209 LIAO Alex J. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
210 MEJIA-RUIZ Daniel A. 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
210 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
210 IVARSSON Oliver 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
213 HEMPE Jake 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
214 LOPEZ Carlos D. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
215 BROOKES Scott L. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
215 IYENGAR Amal N. 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
215 LI Daniel J. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
215 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
215 ROCHEFORT Mathieu 100% 86% 46% 14% 2% - -
220 GAZIANO William F. 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
221 PETER Griffin 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
222 HSU Jonathan 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
223 CARMAN Ian K. 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
223 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
226 HU James (Jimmy) Y. 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
226 DULA Patrik L. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
228 PITCHER Skylar L. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
229 MACDOUGALL Forrest N. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
230 PAEK Alex J. 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
231 SHIH William 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 10% 1%
232 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 7% -
232 DZODZOS Michael 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
234 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
234 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
234 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 95% 67% 23% 4% - -
237 YANG Andy H. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
238 ZILINSKIY Eduard 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
239 BALL James T. 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% - -
240 DIVENTI Paul W. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
241 LI Austin W. 100% 88% 48% 12% 1% - -
242 ZHANG Songhao Steven 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
243 RUFFNER Blake W. 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
244 KASI Sanjay 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
245 PANAGIEV Stefan-Damian D. 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
246 ZEFF Avi 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
247 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 91% 60% 21% 3% - -
248 YANG Adam 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
249 HARTMARK Anders 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
250 ADAMS Luke C. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
251 BATRAK Alexander 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
251 LI Raphael C. 100% 90% 42% 7% 1% - -
251 ROBINSON Stuart 100% 45% 7% 1% - - -
254 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
254 ACINAPURO Philip M. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
256 PALAZZOLO William J. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
257 HERGAN Daniel 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
258 LI Sean X. 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
259 DING Andrew Y. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
260 UPTON Michael 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
261 VITI Mark G. 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 2% -
262 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
263 CATLIN Adam 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
264 GUPTA Shiven 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
265 LEE Nathaniel J. 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
265 MILLER Trent D. 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
267 LEE Chris 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
268 BADRIGIAN William H. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
268 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
270 CHOI Eric Y. 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% 1% -
271 VANNI Filippo A. 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
271 CHEN-LI David C. 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% - -
273 LEE Michael W. 100% 63% 23% 5% 1% - -
273 LEE Daniel C. 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
275 MILLER Braeden G. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
275 CHOI Peter J. 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
275 LI Yulei 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
278 CARLICK Benjamin W. 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
278 LEVESQUE Louis 100% 33% 5% - - - -
280 KIM John J. 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
280 DING Jonathan 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
282 TORO Alejandro 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
282 BAE Junnie 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
284 FERNANDES Zain 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
284 THAI William 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
284 BOUIE Jacob 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
284 LIU Eric P. 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
288 KINNEY Luke 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
288 ANDERSON David C. 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
290 WU Wesley E. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
291 HUTH Mitchell 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
293 WALTER Evran M. 100% 91% 57% 18% 3% - -
294 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.