January NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, January 6, 2019 at 9:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SOUDERS Peter F. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
2 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. - - - 1% 6% 31% 63%
3 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 SKEETE Kamar A. - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
5 DI TELLA Pascual M. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 25%
6 SHAINBERG Jonah L. - - - - 4% 37% 59%
7 ELSISSY Ziad - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
8 CAI Erwin - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
9 CALLAHAN Kevin 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
10 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
11 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 27%
12 DODDO Andrew - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
13 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
14 SARON Mitchell S. - - - 1% 11% 43% 45%
15 ARMIJO Gabriel K. - - 4% 23% 45% 27%
16 NATANZON Benjamin 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
17 NADILE Henry V. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
18 SPEAR Jeff - - - - 2% 21% 77%
19 HOMER Daryl D. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 10%
20 SIERADZKY Dawson 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% < 1%
20 SOLOMON Daniel P. - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
22 BAK Mikolaj - 6% 35% 41% 16% 2%
23 GUY Philippe - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
24 LOSS Geoffrey M. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
25 COHEN Josef A. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 35%
26 JOHNSON Andrew J. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
27 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - 2% 19% 49% 29%
28 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
29 MERCHANT Julian T. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
30 SMITH Jared C. - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
31 MERCHANT Marcel J. - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 13%
32 WALKER Dalton F. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
33 OH Jason H. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 22%
34 ARFA Fares - - - 2% 18% 45% 34%
35 IGOE Benjamin - - - - 3% 23% 75%
36 COSTIN Michael V. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
37 MARCUS Benjamin H. - - 1% 10% 33% 46% 10%
38 CAUCHON Francois - - - 4% 21% 51% 25%
39 WALKER III Alex 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
40 KWAK Daniel (Dongwon) - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
41 ROHRLACK Charles (Charlie) F. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
42 MOON Sean H. - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
43 CHOI HYUNSEOK - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
44 KUSHKOV Simon O. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
45 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 3% 19% 41% 29% 7% -
46 MULLENNIX Ethan M. 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
47 FLORENCIA Hector - 1% 9% 31% 40% 18% 1%
48 LIU Jesse Y. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
49 ELARAB Mazen 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
50 BIVINS III George A. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
51 MA Jonathan D. - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
52 SCHMITT Trenton R. - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 9%
53 GEORGE Firoz V. - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
54 RICHARDSON Andrew 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
55 BACON Elias (Eli) H. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
56 KANARY Logan A. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
57 MENG Bolang B. - 2% 15% 38% 36% 10%
58 KARAM Tariq A. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
59 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 1%
60 SCHINDLER Zachary (Milo) 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
61 BAK Daniel 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
62 MUSGRAVE Walter N. 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% -
63 LIMB Matthew G. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
64 RAINVILLE-POND Schuyler J. 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
65 WALKER Christopher J. - - - 1% 5% 30% 64%
66 SHIN Richard J.H. 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
67 BOOTH Zaheer - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
68 PARK Donghwan - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
69 HU William 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
70 DINU Nicholas D. 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
71 DAMMER Mark W. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
72 MIKA Casper 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
73 MORICZ Hunter - 6% 27% 42% 22% 4%
74 KOLASA Thomas M. - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
75 FARFAN-BAYERL Inti 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
76 PRICE Jack S. 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
77 RABINOWITZ Benjamin - 3% 14% 28% 32% 19% 5%
78 CHIARA ANGELO M. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
79 ROTENSTEIN Leon G. - 5% 24% 40% 24% 6% -
80 BRADFORD Blake 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
81 WITEK Bernard J. 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
82 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
83 CHEN Alan - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 3%
84 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
84 DROZ Camden J. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
86 GÉLINAS Marc - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
87 YEN Darren - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
88 MOISE Bryan R. 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6% -
89 KENNEDY Falan M. - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16% 1%
89 HAMMER Peter A. 2% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3% -
91 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
92 LEUNG Mark - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
93 CAMPBELL Colin B. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
94 WEI Andrew 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
95 GRUBE Sterling T. - - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
96 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
97 PREVEY-SULLIVAN Owen D. 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
98 KULDELL Spencer D. 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
99 SZETO Brian 3% 14% 29% 31% 17% 5% 1%
100 MEHTA Sachin N. - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 7%
101 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
101 RICE Vaughn A. - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
103 CENTANNI Salvatore (Sal) M. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
103 FIELDS Malcolm D. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
105 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
106 ZHAO Raymond H. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
107 SOHN Joshua C. 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
108 LIN John A. 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
109 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
110 KIM Charlson - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 4%
111 LU Berwyn D. 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
112 SCHOLL Ben Q. 2% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
112 LEVITT Benjamin - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
114 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
115 REESE Aaron S. 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
116 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
117 GOODE Matthew (Matt) G. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
117 DANNULL Linus N. 1% 9% 25% 34% 22% 7% 1%
119 CHOU Stephen C. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
120 BOUANANI Zachariah I. 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% 1% -
122 YAN Jack P. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
123 TONG Qilin - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
124 KOKOSINSKI Eryk 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
125 KIM Brian S. - 3% 14% 28% 32% 18% 4%
125 HAN Nicholas - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
125 FEENEY Sean 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
125 MARSEE James 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
129 HARVEY Nicholas J. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
130 BUENAVENTURA Christian 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
131 RIVERA Inigo Franco 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
132 WIND Nicky E. 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
133 PITURA Philip 1% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
134 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 3% -
134 LUSSIER Simon 2% 13% 34% 37% 13% 1% -
136 KIM Minwook 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
137 LIN Xiteng (Steven) 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
138 BERKAY Deniz 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
138 BARNETT Adam 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
140 LAI Adam J. 12% 37% 33% 14% 3% - -
141 PRIEST Leighton K. 7% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
142 BOLTON Braydon A. 6% 40% 38% 13% 2% - -
142 QIU Le 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
144 MULVANEY Alec S. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
145 DANNULL Lukas J. 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
146 SPEAR Will - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
146 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 15% 2%
148 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
149 FANG David S. - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
150 HONG Elijah S. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
151 SHANAHAN Adam E. 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
152 STONE Ben 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
153 DILLREE Spencer S. 23% 45% 26% 5% - -
154 TE VELDE Noah C. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
155 WELLER Teddy 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
156 WOOD Vance H. 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
157 SCHNEIDER Allen J. 12% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
158 LIN Lucas H. 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
158 KALUZA Pierre-Frédéric - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
160 BALDI Ryan 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
161 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
162 SOHN Kevin J. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
163 MICHELL Bailey - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
164 ALLUM Christopher T. 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
164 ESCUETA Tony V. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
166 BROWNE JR ROLSTON D. 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
167 LOBO-BERG Gabriel (G) K. 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
168 RAMAN Easwer - 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
169 LAI Eric A. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
170 WOLIN Zachary A. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
171 PHILLIPS Kim V. 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1%
172 KIM Stephen E. - 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
173 LEE Kyle 5% 27% 41% 22% 4% -
174 DANIELS Douglas A. 33% 47% 18% 2% - -
175 HARLEY Colby A. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
176 CHU Cameron 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
177 HUSSAIN Faaris 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
178 DESCHERER David - < 1% 1% 9% 31% 43% 15%
179 WOOD Elden S. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
180 JULIEN William A 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
181 KIM Shawn J. - < 1% 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
181 CHAN Zachary D. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
181 WOODWARD Dylan P. 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
181 KANG Brandon M. 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
185 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
185 CHU Devin 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
185 AURAY Phileas 5% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
185 LIANG Connor 1% 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
185 XU Ryan - 2% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
190 GEFELL Andrew P. 4% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
190 ATTIG Will T. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
190 CHIEN Phillip L. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
190 DODRILL Grant 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
190 NI AMEN Zahir K. 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
195 OLMSTEAD Aaron R. 9% 32% 39% 18% 3% - -
196 BOLTON Dawson E. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
197 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
198 HAST Kern R. 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
199 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 40% 42% 15% 3% - - -
200 BARNETT Peter 14% 35% 32% 15% 4% - -
201 SMITH David C. - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
202 HARLEY Sage N. 15% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
202 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 5% 25% 38% 25% 6% - -
202 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
202 WU Nicholas R. 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
206 GRATHWOL-SEAR Sebastian 10% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
207 TRACY Jahi 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
208 DENNER Lysander H. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
209 PYATETSKY Shawn E. 4% 23% 42% 26% 5% -
209 DEMAREST Iain 11% 36% 38% 14% 2% -
211 OSTER Keegan J. 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
212 VASILYEV Nikita K. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
213 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
214 COPELAND Oliver E. 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% - -
215 TANG Brendan J. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
216 YUAN Ronald I. 24% 49% 23% 4% - -
217 GREMILLION Ezekiel R. 50% 41% 9% 1% - - -
218 LILLY Nathaniel M. 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% - -
218 FILS-AIME Jacob E. 7% 31% 39% 18% 4% - -
220 VACCARI Braden 32% 48% 18% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.