January NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, January 6, 2019 at 9:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SOUDERS Peter F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
2 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
3 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
3 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
5 DI TELLA Pascual M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
6 SHAINBERG Jonah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 59%
7 ELSISSY Ziad 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
8 CAI Erwin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
9 CALLAHAN Kevin 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
10 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
11 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
12 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
13 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
14 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
15 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
16 NATANZON Benjamin 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
17 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
18 SPEAR Jeff 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
19 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
20 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% < 1%
20 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
22 BAK Mikolaj 100% 100% 94% 59% 18% 2%
23 GUY Philippe 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
24 LOSS Geoffrey M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
25 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
26 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
27 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 29%
28 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
29 MERCHANT Julian T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 30% 6%
30 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
31 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
32 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
33 OH Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
34 ARFA Fares 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
35 IGOE Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
36 COSTIN Michael V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
37 MARCUS Benjamin H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 56% 10%
38 CAUCHON Francois 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 25%
39 WALKER III Alex 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
40 KWAK Daniel (Dongwon) 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
41 ROHRLACK Charles (Charlie) F. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
42 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
43 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
44 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1% -
45 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 97% 78% 36% 7% -
46 MULLENNIX Ethan M. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
47 FLORENCIA Hector 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 1%
48 LIU Jesse Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
49 ELARAB Mazen 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
50 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
51 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
52 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
53 GEORGE Firoz V. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
54 RICHARDSON Andrew 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
55 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
56 KANARY Logan A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
57 MENG Bolang B. 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
58 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
59 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 1%
60 SCHINDLER Zachary (Milo) 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
61 BAK Daniel 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
62 MUSGRAVE Walter N. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
63 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
64 RAINVILLE-POND Schuyler J. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
65 WALKER Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
66 SHIN Richard J.H. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
67 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
68 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
69 HU William 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 4% -
70 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
71 DAMMER Mark W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
72 MIKA Casper 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
73 MORICZ Hunter 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 4%
74 KOLASA Thomas M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
75 FARFAN-BAYERL Inti 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
76 PRICE Jack S. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
77 RABINOWITZ Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 5%
78 CHIARA ANGELO M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
79 ROTENSTEIN Leon G. 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 6% -
80 BRADFORD Blake 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
81 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
82 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
83 CHEN Alan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
84 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
84 DROZ Camden J. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
86 GÉLINAS Marc 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
87 YEN Darren 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 25% 3%
88 MOISE Bryan R. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% -
89 KENNEDY Falan M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 1%
89 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
91 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
92 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 25%
93 CAMPBELL Colin B. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
94 WEI Andrew 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
95 GRUBE Sterling T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
96 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
97 PREVEY-SULLIVAN Owen D. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
98 KULDELL Spencer D. 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4% -
99 SZETO Brian 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% 1%
100 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
101 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
101 RICE Vaughn A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 19% 2%
103 CENTANNI Salvatore (Sal) M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
103 FIELDS Malcolm D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
105 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
106 ZHAO Raymond H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
107 SOHN Joshua C. 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
108 LIN John A. 100% 77% 33% 6% 1% -
109 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
110 KIM Charlson 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 4%
111 LU Berwyn D. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
112 SCHOLL Ben Q. 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
112 LEVITT Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
114 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
115 REESE Aaron S. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
116 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
117 GOODE Matthew (Matt) G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
117 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
119 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 3%
120 BOUANANI Zachariah I. 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
122 YAN Jack P. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
123 TONG Qilin 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
124 KOKOSINSKI Eryk 100% 83% 47% 17% 3% - -
125 KIM Brian S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
125 HAN Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
125 FEENEY Sean 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
125 MARSEE James 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
129 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
130 BUENAVENTURA Christian 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
131 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
132 WIND Nicky E. 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
133 PITURA Philip 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
134 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3% -
134 LUSSIER Simon 100% 98% 85% 51% 14% 1% -
136 KIM Minwook 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
137 LIN Xiteng (Steven) 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
138 BERKAY Deniz 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
138 BARNETT Adam 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
140 LAI Adam J. 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
141 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
142 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 94% 54% 16% 2% - -
142 QIU Le 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
144 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
145 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
146 SPEAR Will 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
146 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
148 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
149 FANG David S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5%
150 HONG Elijah S. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
151 SHANAHAN Adam E. 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
152 STONE Ben 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
153 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 77% 31% 6% - -
154 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
155 WELLER Teddy 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
156 WOOD Vance H. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
157 SCHNEIDER Allen J. 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% - -
158 LIN Lucas H. 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
158 KALUZA Pierre-Frédéric 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
160 BALDI Ryan 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
161 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
162 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 15% 2%
163 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 20% 3%
164 ALLUM Christopher T. 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1% -
164 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
166 BROWNE JR ROLSTON D. 100% 84% 49% 19% 4% 1% -
167 LOBO-BERG Gabriel (G) K. 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
168 RAMAN Easwer 100% 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
169 LAI Eric A. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
170 WOLIN Zachary A. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
171 PHILLIPS Kim V. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1%
172 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
173 LEE Kyle 100% 95% 67% 27% 4% -
174 DANIELS Douglas A. 100% 67% 20% 2% - -
175 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
176 CHU Cameron 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
177 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
178 DESCHERER David 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 15%
179 WOOD Elden S. 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
180 JULIEN William A 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 10% 1%
181 KIM Shawn J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
181 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
181 WOODWARD Dylan P. 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
181 KANG Brandon M. 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
185 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1% -
185 CHU Devin 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
185 AURAY Phileas 100% 95% 70% 31% 8% 1% -
185 LIANG Connor 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
185 XU Ryan 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
190 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
190 ATTIG Will T. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
190 CHIEN Phillip L. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
190 DODRILL Grant 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
190 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
195 OLMSTEAD Aaron R. 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% - -
196 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
197 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
198 HAST Kern R. 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
199 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
200 BARNETT Peter 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
201 SMITH David C. 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
202 HARLEY Sage N. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
202 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% - -
202 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
202 WU Nicholas R. 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
206 GRATHWOL-SEAR Sebastian 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
207 TRACY Jahi 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
208 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3% -
209 PYATETSKY Shawn E. 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% -
209 DEMAREST Iain 100% 89% 54% 16% 2% -
211 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
212 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
213 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
214 COPELAND Oliver E. 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% - -
215 TANG Brendan J. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
216 YUAN Ronald I. 100% 76% 27% 4% - -
217 GREMILLION Ezekiel R. 100% 50% 9% 1% - - -
218 LILLY Nathaniel M. 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% - -
218 FILS-AIME Jacob E. 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
220 VACCARI Braden 100% 68% 20% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.