Event Results

Y-14 Mixed Épée

DCFC Youth Challenge #3Surprise Map

Sunday, February 9, 2020 at 1:30 PM DC Fencers Club · Silver Spring, MD, USA

30 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	JAKEL Sophia N.	V V V V V	V V V V	3.8	5	+1.2
2	JORDAN Anton	V V V V V	V V V V D	3.2	5	+1.8
3	WOZNIAK Fryderyk	V V V D D	V V V D	3.5	3	-0.5
3	KARL David	D V V D V	V V V D	3.5	3	-0.5
5	YANG Alisa	V V D V V	V V D	4.0	4	-
6	BANNEN Nicholas	V V D V D	V V D	2.4	3	+0.6
7	ZHAO Ivy	D D V V V	V V D	2.3	3	+0.7
8	NICELY William B.	D D V V D	V V D	2.1	2	-0.1
9	CAO Albert	V V V V V	D	3.5	5	+1.5
10	HILBERT Gabriel E.	V V V D V	V D	3.4	4	+0.6
11	MIMIKAKIS Elia	D D V V D	V D	1.9	2	+0.1
12	ERDMAN Giselle	D V D D V	V D	2.1	2	-0.1
13	NAGY Akos R.	V D D V D	V D	2.3	2	-0.3
14	CILOGLU Dorukhan	D D V D D	V D	1.9	1	-0.9
15	STICHMAN Chase	D D D D V	V D	2.0	1	-1.0
15	LE BORGNE Clea	D V D D D	V D	1.1	1	-0.1
17	DUAN Eric	V V V D V	D	3.3	4	+0.7
18	BURROWS Marco	V D V V V	D	3.1	4	+0.9
19	METZLER Calder	V D D V V	D	3.2	3	-0.2
20	DAN Rex	V D V V D	D	2.1	3	+0.9
21	BRUNDAGE Nevan	V D D V V	D	2.5	3	+0.5
22	ZHANG Andy	V D V D D	D	2.4	2	-0.4
23	LIU Nicole	V V D D D	D	2.9	2	-0.9
24	BHATTACHARYYA Rohan	D V D V D	D	1.7	2	+0.3
25	WAGNER Ian	D V V D D	D	1.9	2	+0.1
26	SHIN Jihyo	D V D D V	D	2.6	2	-0.6
27	ZHANG Caden	D D D V D	D	2.0	1	-1.0
28	MAGALSKI Mary	D D D D V	D	1.1	1	-0.1
29	CHOPRA-KHAN Jonah	D D D D D	D	1.1	0	-1.1
30	HILMOE Elizabeth	D D D D D	D	1.9	0	-1.9

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

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