The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

DCFC Youth Challenge #3

Y-14 Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 9, 2020 at 1:30 PM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JAKEL Sophia N. - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
2 JORDAN Anton - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
3 WOZNIAK Fryderyk - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 KARL David - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
5 YANG Alisa - - 4% 21% 46% 29%
6 BANNEN Nicholas 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
7 ZHAO Ivy 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
8 NICELY William B. 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1%
9 CAO Albert - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15%
10 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
11 MIMIKAKIS Elia 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
12 ERDMAN Giselle 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
13 NAGY Akos R. 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
14 CILOGLU Dorukhan 3% 35% 41% 18% 3% -
15 STICHMAN Chase 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
15 LE BORGNE Clea 26% 45% 23% 5% - -
17 DUAN Eric - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
18 BURROWS Marco 1% 6% 21% 35% 29% 9%
19 METZLER Calder - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
20 DAN Rex 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% 1%
21 BRUNDAGE Nevan 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 1%
22 ZHANG Andy 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
23 LIU Nicole 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
24 BHATTACHARYYA Rohan 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
25 WAGNER Ian 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
26 SHIN Jihyo 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 2%
27 ZHANG Caden 5% 25% 40% 24% 6% -
28 MAGALSKI Mary 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
29 CHOPRA-KHAN Jonah 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
30 HILMOE Elizabeth 8% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.