USAFA Center Gymnasium - Colorado Springs, CO, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SHUGART Henry | V V D V V | V V V V V | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 2 | HAN Matthew | V V V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 3 | REES Daniel | V V D D V | V V V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 3 | CELECKI Barrett | V D V V V | V V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 5 | KIMATIAN Stephen | V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 7 | CHERIS Zachariah | D V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 8 | SMITH Calvin | D V D V | V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 9 | HOLDERNESS Landon | V V V V V | V D | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| 10 | MAURER Chip | D V V V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 11 | KAJI Ty | V V V V D | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 12 | GASPAROVICH George | V V V V D | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 13 | LUNA MARTINEZ Luis | V V D D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 14 | BURCH Tristan | V D D V | V D | 0.4 | 2 | +1.6 |
| 15 | SPIER Julian | D D V D | V D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 16 | SOLTER Kai | D V D D D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 17 | BRANDRETH Garret | V V V D V | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 18 | MILLETT Seamus | V V V D D | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 19 | ZHOU Jiasheng | D D V V V | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 20 | TRIFILETTI Lawrence | V V D D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 21 | EVANS Tyler | D D D V V | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 | |
| 22 | STRAUSS Luke | D D V D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 23 | KENT David "Chip" | D D V D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 24 | KRUGER Mark | D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 24 | COFFEY Jacob | V D D V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 26 | PALLESEN Hugo | V D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 27 | WANG Alex | D D D D V | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 28 | RINGELHEIM Alexander | D D V D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 29 | LI Patrick | D D V D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 30 | EYMAN Hans | D D D V D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 31 | EBELL Ivan | D D D D V | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 33 | KRAMER Jerome | D D V D D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 | |
| 34 | DAVIS Greg | D D D V D | D | 0.2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| 35 | MOORE Hunter | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.