December NAC

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, December 16, 2018 at 2:00 PM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
2 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
3 SLOWINSKI Maia A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
3 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
5 YUGOV Elizabeth (Liz Yugov) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
6 MOLHO Sofia 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
7 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
8 HALL Velma 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
9 WU Catherine 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 5%
10 YE Eileen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
11 RASO Sofia G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
12 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
13 GOMES Rafaella T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
14 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
16 VEERKAMP Molly 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
17 KIM Elisabeth (Gracie) 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 11%
18 VONA Elena M. 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 5%
19 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
20 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 4%
21 SLADE Mycah R. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
22 KELLY Katherine E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
23 SCHATZ Kristina J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 3%
24 SHANG Andrea 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 22% 2%
25 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 99% 91% 55% 18% 3% -
26 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
27 BRENNER Ellie (Pokenator) 100% 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
28 HENDRIAN Rachel M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 28% 2%
29 DAVIDSON Sammy C. 100% 100% 91% 46% 11% 1% -
30 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
31 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
32 HIRSCH Gabriella H. 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
33 SHORTALL Samantha 100% 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
34 MING YUE 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
35 ZIMBALIST Lila 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
36 HIRSCH Sophie A. 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
37 OWEN Ashley 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
38 VIANNA Gabriella 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
39 FELLMAN Sara 100% 39% 5% - - -
40 RUSCITELLI Kristen A. 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
41 SCHATZ Erika J. 100% 95% 45% 11% 1% - -
42 LEE Alison 100% 93% 46% 10% 1% -
43 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 99% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
44 SIMPSON Lydia Q. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
45 ZHEN Ellen 100% 79% 34% 6% - - -
46 HAZEL Susan L. 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
47 YANIV Liya 100% 64% 9% - - - -
48 BISCHOFF Lydia M. 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
49 HIRSCH Alyssa J. 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% -
51 SCHWARTZMAN Salma 100% 49% 6% - - - -
52 NGUYEN Lisa D. 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% - -
53 SURI Nitya 100% 15% 1% - - - -
54 KNOPF Jenna G. 100% 87% 41% 8% 1% - -
55 PRATT Allison Q. 100% 12% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.