Jersey Clash RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, February 22, 2020 at 4:00 PM

Parsippany, NJ - Parsippany, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GHOSH Tuhin	-	-	1%	9%	31%	46%	14%
2	QIU Le	-	-	-	1%	9%	38%	52%
3	MOSZCZYNSKI Adam	-	-	-	4%	19%	42%	35%
3	CHO Brandon	-	-	1%	8%	26%	40%	24%
5	LEVIN Mark A.	-	-	5%	24%	45%	25%
6	HONG Vincent Q.	-	1%	7%	21%	33%	28%	9%
7	LAU Jeremy Y.	-	2%	11%	31%	39%	18%
8	LEMPERT Levy A.	-	2%	13%	32%	37%	16%
9	STRONG Jr James S.	-	1%	6%	22%	36%	28%	8%
10	HUANG Ethan F.	-	1%	7%	24%	38%	25%	5%
11	LEE Jude H.	-	5%	20%	36%	29%	9%
12	WONG Ryan	5%	25%	39%	24%	6%	1%
13	WU Wilmund	2%	13%	28%	32%	19%	6%	1%
14	KREGER Evan	6%	21%	33%	26%	11%	2%	-
15	DENG Andrew	1%	5%	17%	31%	29%	14%	3%
16	BERMAN Luca	-	1%	8%	27%	38%	22%	4%
17	HO Kaden M.	-	2%	10%	30%	37%	19%	3%
18	SHTEYN Mark	-	3%	12%	26%	33%	21%	5%
19	BOURGHOL Matthew	5%	21%	33%	26%	12%	3%	-
20	LIU Mingyang Ryan	3%	16%	33%	31%	14%	2%	-
21	FISK Ethan	3%	17%	35%	31%	13%	2%
22	NOBLE Colin	-	3%	15%	32%	32%	15%	3%
23	PIWOWAR Alex	7%	33%	37%	18%	4%	-	-
24	BUCCINO George	34%	41%	19%	4%	-	-
25	ZHENG Edward L.	1%	9%	30%	39%	19%	3%
26	ZHUANG Rayken	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%	-
27	PANDEY Neil	3%	17%	33%	31%	13%	2%	-
28	NEVILLE James	3%	16%	33%	32%	14%	2%	-
29	LO Alexander	4%	21%	36%	28%	10%	1%
30	GEORGE Daniel	13%	43%	33%	10%	1%	-
31	CHERNAEV Aleksandar	1%	9%	26%	34%	22%	7%	1%
32	PENG Bryan	2%	10%	25%	32%	22%	8%	1%
33	CHAN Alexander S.	1%	10%	29%	35%	20%	4%
34	ROSEN Ben	19%	40%	30%	9%	1%	-	-
34	ZHANG Yankun	13%	37%	35%	13%	2%	-	-
36	CHENG Kyle	4%	18%	32%	29%	14%	4%	-
37	HONG Justin	13%	37%	35%	13%	2%	-	-
38	ZELAYA Jayson	14%	34%	33%	15%	3%	-	-
39	CHAO Junzhi	20%	40%	29%	9%	1%	-
40	KING Connor	20%	41%	29%	9%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.