Old Man Winter

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 11, 2020 at 9:30 AM

Tileston Gym at St. Mary - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOLDER Will W. - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
2 GUEVARRA Gerhard V. - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
3 GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6%
3 THORNTON Zachary 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
5 EMENHEISER Conrad 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5% < 1%
6 WHITE Joshua H. 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
7 MOOREFIELD Holden C. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
8 COLTON John A. 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
9 ALEXANDER Amelia - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
10 MCLEAN Geoffrey W. - 3% 17% 39% 33% 8%
11 KRUPENKO Sabrina R. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
12 HIGHTOWER Ryan 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
13 FITCH JR James 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 8% -
14 DONNELLY Ian 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
15 REA John P. 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
16 RAYLE Ava 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
17 BORGES Marlon 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
18 CARSON Sam 3% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
19 O'BRIEN Eilis 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.