Old Man Winter

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 11, 2020 at 9:30 AM

Tileston Gym at St. Mary - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOLDER Will W. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8%
2 GUEVARRA Gerhard V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
3 GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6%
3 THORNTON Zachary 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
5 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% < 1%
6 WHITE Joshua H. 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
7 MOOREFIELD Holden C. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
8 COLTON John A. 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
9 ALEXANDER Amelia 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
10 MCLEAN Geoffrey W. 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
11 KRUPENKO Sabrina R. 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
12 HIGHTOWER Ryan 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
13 FITCH JR James 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8% -
14 DONNELLY Ian 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
15 REA John P. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
16 RAYLE Ava 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
17 BORGES Marlon 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
18 CARSON Sam 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
19 O'BRIEN Eilis 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.