Arnold Fencing Classic 2020

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, March 6, 2020 at 1:00 PM

400 N High Street, OH - 400 N High Street, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCNICHOLAS Evan M. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
2 ROTONDI Gregory V. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14%
3 MA Bochen 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
3 KENT Dwain 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 31% 7%
5 WINTERSHEIMER Adam 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
6 DICKSON Tim 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
7 VANDERLINDEN Brian 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
8 PARKS Robert 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
9 HONG James 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 28% 5%
10 MILLER Lance W. 100% 95% 65% 27% 6% -
11 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
12 FITZGERALD Aidan 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
13 CLARK Noah 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 15% 2%
14 KEARNEY Matthew 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
15 SCHOWALTER Tyler J. 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
16 MARTIN Dirk 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6%
17 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
18 SINGH Anil 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
19 EDWARDS Tim 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
19 HERMANSON David B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
21 TAROLLI Alexander 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
22 THACKER William O. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9%
23 O’DEA Anthony 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
24 O'BRIEN Timothy S. 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3%
25 SHULL Marc 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
26 KENT Matthew 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% -
27 WILLIAMS Richard 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
28 KUHN Jeffrey 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 2%
29 STEFANOV Michael A. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
29 LUKES Ollie 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
31 MOORE Gabriel 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
32 DUNDEK Zachary L. 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
33 LANDIS Geoffrey A. 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
34 KIM Jeff 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
35 SILVANIA Michael 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
36 HUGHES Mason 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
37 AGUILAR Nicolas F. 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.