Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, January 19, 2020 at 1:30 PM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUKASHENKO Darii - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
2 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - - - 6% 34% 59%
3 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
3 JI Cody Walter - - - 1% 7% 39% 54%
5 LEE Kyle - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
6 MORRILL William - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
7 JOHNSON Langston C. - 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
8 BECKER Matheus - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
9 LILOV Neil - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
10 KEEFE Duncan - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
11 DODRILL Grant - - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
12 CHIN Matthew W. - - 2% 18% 41% 33% 6%
13 CONINE Tanner C. - 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
14 RESHEIDAT Malik - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
15 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
16 WOODWARD Connor - - 4% 15% 31% 34% 15%
17 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
18 XU William - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
19 CHON Taylor A. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
20 XUE ALEXANDER 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
21 ZHOU Kevin - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
22 TONG ZACHARY - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
22 WANG Charles - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
24 DENNER Maximilian P. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
25 GINIS Nathan - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
26 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 1% 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
27 DU Gavin J. - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
28 LEONARD Cole - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
29 BERMAN Luca - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
30 ZHENG Edward L. - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
31 CHEONG Heonjae - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
32 PAN Andrew W. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
33 NOBLE Colin - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 2%
34 LASORSA Matthew - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 18%
35 SKINNER Graham B. - - 1% 6% 27% 49% 18%
36 SIMAK Joseph P. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
37 BERRIO Carter E. - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
38 SHERWOOD Hayden F. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
38 COLE Alexander - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
40 FIGUEREDO Adrian - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
40 GUZZO Vito 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
42 NOURELDIN Gabriel - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
43 ETIN Ari - 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2%
44 ERMAKOV Lev - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
45 LEMPERT Levy A. 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 11% 2%
46 GILMORE Thomas W. - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13% 2%
47 FENG Leo - - 5% 20% 37% 31% 7%
48 BRUSIE Christopher R. - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
49 KENNEDY Liam A. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
49 BUCHMANN Finn D. - - 3% 13% 33% 36% 15%
51 CHEN Leo - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
52 SHTEYN Mark - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3%
53 JINICH Ilan R. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
54 MARGULIES William 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
55 HO Kaden M. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
56 SAVOY Luca 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
57 WANG Robert 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
57 RODE Leon J. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
57 KIM Shaun M. - 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 4%
60 LEE Aydan J. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
61 DA GRACA Aidan 1% 8% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
62 CRISAFULLI Francesco R. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
63 ZHOU Miles 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
64 YEE Evan J. 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
65 CHEN Oscar - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
66 JARAMILLO Tobias L. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
67 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
68 HONG Steven 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
69 GOLD Jackson 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
70 FLOT Tai A. - - 6% 29% 42% 20% 2%
71 BONSELL Vance - 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
72 LU Caleb Q. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
73 KASPER Aaron 1% 12% 35% 36% 15% 2%
74 COLLINS Andrew M. - 6% 27% 40% 22% 4%
75 FOWLER Luke 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1%
76 SHOMAN Zachary - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
77 MCCLUNG Gavin 6% 39% 38% 14% 2% -
78 DELARUE NELSON Y. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
79 BELEV Nicholas 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
80 LIU Mingyang Ryan 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1% -
81 MOOREHEAD Patrick 1% 9% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
82 DENG Andrew - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
83 LEE Justin 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
84 FORT David 1% 8% 31% 40% 18% 2% -
85 MOLINARO Lawrence 1% 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
86 SULLIVAN Aidan J. 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
86 GHENEA George Philipe - 3% 13% 32% 35% 15% 1%
88 ZHANG Yankun 3% 27% 49% 19% 3% - -
89 DOLAN Charles R. 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
90 LIU Christopher X. - 3% 15% 36% 35% 10% 1%
91 EICHHORN Lukas H. - 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3%
91 OH Triton - 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1%
93 SMINK Oliver 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
94 WANG Nicolas 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
95 HU Andrew - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
96 CHAVES Matthew J. 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
97 GREENBAUM Ian L. 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
98 CLYMER Lucas Y. - 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
99 COSGROVE Connor R. 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
100 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 3% 13% 31% 33% 17% 3%
101 BLEYMAN David 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
102 LUTHRA Arjun - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
103 SHOMAN Noah - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 3%
103 CHOI Silas - - 5% 30% 43% 20% 2%
105 MYLEK Peter 1% 9% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
106 THORNHILL Kwasi 7% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
107 BRIDGES Benjamin 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
108 WANG Andy 4% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
109 PIWOWAR Alex 1% 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
110 FIELDS Matthew S. - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
111 COX Luis E. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
112 COREY Michael A. 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
112 DESHETLER Scott 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
114 LOWHAM-RUZZO Alexander J. 7% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1% -
114 MEHTA Krish - 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
114 REN Richard 3% 36% 39% 18% 4% - -
117 GIANETTO Ethan K. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
118 MOL Spencer 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
119 ZENG Noah 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
120 GUAN Luke 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
121 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
122 DILLE Jackson K. 5% 42% 38% 13% 2% - -
123 YANG Duncan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
124 LANNAMAN Connor 16% 50% 30% 5% - - -
125 SANDERS Samuel B. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
126 BALDWIN Michael B. 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
127 CHANG Yufeng 17% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
128 MACKINNON Henry 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
129 GOLDMAN Noah R. 6% 25% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
130 BAERMAN Michael 14% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
131 WANG Andrew 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
132 NAZAROV Adilzhan 76% 22% 2% - - - -
133 ZHUANG Rayken 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
134 LARRAZOLO Vincent 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
135 MALONE Gregory D. 6% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
136 LEONARD Charles 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
137 YU Thomas 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% -
138 MAHESH Vrshaank 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
138 GOLD Carter 87% 13% 1% - - - -
140 SUSSMAN Jamie 70% 27% 3% - - -
141 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
141 HOLDEN Joseph 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
141 LIN Hadrian 73% 25% 2% - - - -
141 CLARK Keagan 81% 17% 1% - - - -
145 MORALES Jonathan 27% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
145 FUHRIG Max 79% 19% 1% - - - -
145 DAKIN Joseph 59% 35% 5% - - - -
145 NISSEN Henry 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
149 FERBER Oliver E. 10% 55% 29% 6% - - -
149 HARRIS Nathan 27% 45% 23% 5% - - -
151 DUDLEY Leo 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.