Punxsutawney Phil Pizza Party C & Under - E,F,S

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 1, 2020 at 6:00 PM

South Denver Fencing Academy - Centennial, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AHAUS Viktoria 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
2 GIRARD Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 14%
3 LI Patrick 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 1%
3 KENT IV David 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
5 SOLTER Kai 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
6 CELECKI Barrett 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
7 TIBBETTS Johnathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 12%
8 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
9 LUNA MARTINEZ Luis 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 12% 1%
10 MOSKOFF Tessa 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
11 STAROSTA Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
12 BURCH Tristan H. 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 2% -
13 BARON Sabina 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
14 EVANS Tyler 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
15 SATTERFIELD Donald 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 8%
16 MEIKLE Andrew W. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
17 ERKENBECK Nathan M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
18 CLAYMAN John A. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
19 HENDRICK Heidi M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
20 LETTANG John 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
21 COFFEY Jacob 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
22 BARLOW Jason P. 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
23 ERKENBECK Zoe R. 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
24 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
25 EBELL Ivan D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
26 FOULKS Caleb 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
27 SPATZ Kenneth 100% 88% 48% 12% 1% - -
28 SAINT-PHARD Shana 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
29 TORRES Nicolas 100% 98% 76% 38% 11% 2% -
30 CHEN Nicole Y. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
31 LESSARD Luc 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
32 GREGORY Alex 100% 36% 5% - - - -
33 LUTTON Patricia 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
34 BULK Sierra 100% 33% 5% - - - -
35 HARBIN Layla L. 100% 83% 48% 17% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.