The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

USA Fencing Baltimore SJCC Tournament

Cadet Women's Foil

Sunday, March 1, 2020 at 1:00 PM

Baltimore, MD - Baltimore, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
2 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
3 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
3 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
5 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
6 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
7 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
8 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
9 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
10 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
11 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
12 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
13 LI Meilin 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
14 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% -
15 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1%
16 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
17 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
18 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
19 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
20 SADAN Jordan E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
21 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
22 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
23 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
24 HALL Velma 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
25 TALAVERA Daena 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
26 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
27 WU Irene M. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
28 HE Fenghuan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
29 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
30 CHEN Kelly 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
31 FU Qihan 100% 92% 61% 21% 4% - -
32 EYER Hailey M. 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
33 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
34 LEE Bethany W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
35 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
36 XU Madison 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
37 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
38 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
39 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
40 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
41 HE Xiangxin 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5%
42 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
43 XUE Alanna 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
44 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
45 KIM Katherine 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 9% 1%
46 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 15% 2%
47 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
48 LI Rachel Y. 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
49 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 14% 2%
50 HUANG NATALIE 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
51 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
52 FERNANDES Thea 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
53 LEE Lavender 100% 87% 49% 16% 2% -
54 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 90% 53% 17% 2% -
55 XU Christine 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
56 ATLURI Srija 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2%
57 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
58 ABD-ELMONIEM Nusayba K. 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
59 CHON Sydney 100% 97% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
60 WU Julianna Y. 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
61 CHEN Allison V. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
62 HUNT Abigail S. 100% 60% 18% 2% - - -
63 WEINTRAUB Io H. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
64 SU Michelle 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
65 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
66 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
67 SCHATZ Erika J. 100% 99% 87% 43% 11% 1% -
68 GU EMILY 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% - -
69 LONG Madeline M. 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
70 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
71 KOROL Dana 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
72 DU Hannah 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
73 BECCHINA Claire E. 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
74 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 100% 70% 25% 5% - - -
75 PERLMAN Talia 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
76 YU Jaime L. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
77 LENZ Zoe N. 100% 91% 49% 14% 2% - -
78 LIN Ashley 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 8% 1%
79 ROY Layla 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
80 LIN Emma 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
81 PAVE Claire 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
82 ZULUETA Catherine 100% 89% 33% 5% - - -
83 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
84 SHTROM Uma A. 100% 24% 1% - - - -
85 TAN Clarisse 100% 49% 12% 1% - -
86 THIRUVENGADAM Harini 100% 33% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.