Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | KEE Andrew L. | V V V V D | V V V V V | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 2 | TANG Owen S. | V V V V | V V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | LI Matthew | V V V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 3 | KUMAMOTO Sota | V V V V | V V V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 5 | SONG Bryan | V V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 6 | GRAHAM Roy J. | D V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 7 | WECHSLER Jacob | D V V V V | V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 8 | WANG Winston | D V V D | V V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 9 | GAO William | V V V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 10 | ZHENG zhe | V V D V | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 11 | LLIDO Soren | V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 12 | SONG Austin | V D V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 13 | KNIZHNIK David | V V D D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 14 | QIAN Jason H. | V D V D V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 15 | KLYCZEK Andrew | D V D V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 16 | AUGUSTINE Aaron A. | V D D D V | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 17 | LEE Jacob | D V V V | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 18 | DE COQUET Maximilian | V D V D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 19 | TIKHAEV Alexander | V D V D | D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 20 | LI Lianhan | D V D V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 21 | LEE Lukas | V D D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 22 | ZOU Yuming | V D V D D | D | 0.5 | 2 | +1.5 |
| 23 | ORLOV Dmitriy | V D D V D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 24 | LORENZO Alejandro | D V V D D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 25 | ARIZA Abraham J. | V D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 26 | HUGHES Evan J. | D D V D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 27 | XU Dinghui Ryan | V D D D | V D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 27 | HUANG Eythan | D V D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 29 | YAO Bradley | D D V D | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 30 | TANG August L. | D D D V | V D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 31 | RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. | D D D V D | V D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 32 | TANG Alexander L. | D D D D D | V D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| 33 | MAO Lucas | V D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 34 | PAN Henry | D V D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 35 | ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO | D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 36 | WATSON Logan | D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 37 | CAO Vincent | D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.