2021 Bay State Games

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, August 21, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 99% 85% 42%
2 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
3 BING Charles 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
3 LI Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
5 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
6 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 66% 20%
7 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 90% 51% 11%
8 AHN Jun 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
9 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34% 6%
10 ZHAO Jesse 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
11 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 4% -
12 FU Yifan 100% 100% 93% 56% 13%
13 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
14 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
15 BUCKLEY-JONES Henry C. 100% 84% 38% 7% 1% -
16 LI Arvin 100% 100% 96% 74% 28% 4%
17 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 14%
18 PAN Eric 100% 100% 92% 56% 13%
19 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 32%
20 BAO Chris W. 100% 97% 74% 29% 5% -
21 LI Ayren 100% 73% 20% 2% -
22 MCLEAN Miles K. 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
23 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 4%
24 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
25 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
26 ZHENG Harrison 100% 55% 3% - - -
27 TSAI Max W. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% -
28 XU Ethan 100% 99% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
29 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 50% 8% - -
30 WANG Mason 100% 100% 96% 44% 8% 1%
31 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 86% 39% 8% 1% - -
32 REN Bingye 100% 49% 9% 1% - -
33 VU Evan 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
34 SHAO Eric 100% 62% 18% 3% - -
35 LIU Jeremiah 100% 50% 1% - - -
36 SURESH Rohan 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
38 ZHANG Teddy 100% 44% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.