2021 Bay State Games

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, August 22, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 RICUTA Laurentiu Florentin 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
2 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
3 WU Jonathan 100% 80% 36% 7% -
5 MCDERMOTT Brian 100% 100% 99% 84% 40%
6 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 99% 88% 38% 3%
7 LANGTON Sawyer 100% 100% 94% 53% 5%
8 MATEI Daniel 100% 90% 57% 17% 2%
9 HERMANSON David B. 100% 98% 84% 44% 8%
10 MARSHALL William L. 100% 100% 91% 55% 13%
11 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
12 SPRINGER Michael 100% 99% 87% 47% 9%
13 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 99% 86% 50% 9%
14 SEOL Austin 100% 69% 24% 4% -
15 REELS Eric J. 100% 79% 36% 7% -
16 XIE Brandon 100% 91% 42% 8% 1%
17 FENG Du 100% 46% 5% - -
18 BUTTS Brendan 100% 31% 4% - -
19 QI Terry 100% 77% 31% 5% -
20 LUO Peter 100% 72% 17% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.