Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Vet ROC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, September 26, 2021 at 1:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 78% 25%
2 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
3 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 48%
3 LE Vyn A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
5 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33%
6 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
7 WANG Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
8 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
9 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
10 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
11 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
12 LIN James G. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
13 MCLEAN Miles K. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
14 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 6%
15 CHREKY Jacob D. 100% 100% 100% 93% 42% 6%
16 PO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 11%
17 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
18 HOWARD Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
19 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 98% 74% 29% 4%
20 MILLER Andrew 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
21 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
22 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
23 SONG Bryan 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 3%
24 MCCAULEY Samuel R. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
25 GALLUCCI Charles John 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
26 TSAI Max W. 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
27 CAI Oliver K. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
28 JIN Dennis H. 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
29 VAZQUEZ Sebastian A. 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
30 HONG Issac 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
31 GLEBA Nico 100% 47% 11% 1% - -
32 TALLARICO Matthew 100% 98% 76% 36% 9% 1%
33 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
34 MOO Gareth G. 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2%
35 BROWN Alexander R. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
36 BAO Chris W. 100% 96% 70% 26% 4% -
37 BALESTRACCI Chris 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
38 HOLTZ Donovan K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
39 BOUSSY Luciano 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
40 WANG Jackson 100% 99% 85% 48% 14% 1%
41 BENTLEY Nick 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
42 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
43 LEE Jonah 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3%
44 WANG Mason 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5%
45 JOHNSON Cooper A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
46 AMRANI David 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% -
47 VALENTON Timothy 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
48 ZHENG Harrison 100% 63% 19% 3% - -
49 REZA Farazi 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
50 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
51 LI Ayren 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% -
52 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 75% 23% 1% - -
53 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
54 WU Michael 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
54 GARDOS Noah 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
56 MORGESON Colin 100% 88% 45% 4% - -
57 VO Jonathan 100% 30% 2% - - -
58 MAGALONG William 100% 65% 18% 1% - -
59 XU Ethan 100% 92% 54% 16% 2% -
60 TSIMMERMAN Michael 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
61 POPE Alexander 100% 86% 45% 12% 1% -
62 WU Benjamin 100% 31% 4% - - -
63 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
64 DEVAUX Ryan T. 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
65 HAYLON Caleb 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
65 WERTZ Erik 100% 93% 58% 17% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.