National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, July 3, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
2 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
3 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
5 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
6 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
7 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
8 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
9 CHIN Isabella 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
10 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
11 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
12 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
13 KETKAR Mallika 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
14 GU Sarah 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 12% 1%
15 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
16 ROSS Naomi O. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
17 WANG Karen 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 7%
18 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
19 TYLER Syd 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
20 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
21 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
22 GARINA Ania (Ganusia) 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
23 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
24 WANG Elizabeth 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
25 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
26 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
27 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
28 KHROL Jaclyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 8%
29 MANGANO Ariana J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
30 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
31 HENRY Asha S. 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% -
32 LEE Michelle J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
33 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
34 NI Emma 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
35 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 96% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
36 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
37 KIM Zoe L. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
38 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
39 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
40 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
40 MESCHIA Maggie 100% 66% 22% 4% < 1% - -
42 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
43 BEI Karen 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
44 MCLANE Lauren 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
45 ANGEN Katie R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
46 CONSTANTINO Lola 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
47 DANIEL Chloe L. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
48 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
48 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
50 ISERT Sarah 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
51 ZAFFT Tatiana M. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
52 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
53 MAO Amy 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 2% -
54 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
55 BATES Cassandra L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
55 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
57 CHU Audrey 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
58 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
59 CHENG Ava 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% 1% -
60 TONCHEVA Victoria M. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
61 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
62 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
63 YEU Irene 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
64 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% -
65 STEWART Tatijana I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
66 VERMEULE Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
67 WANG Nora 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
68 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15% 1%
69 REID Anousheh 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
70 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 3%
71 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
72 LIU Christina A. 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
73 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
74 WU Amelia 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
75 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
76 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
77 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
78 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
78 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
80 CHOI Eunice 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
81 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
82 GABERKORN Nadia 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
83 COBERT Helen G. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
84 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
85 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
86 LUO Ashley 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
87 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
88 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
89 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
90 WEBER Nora 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -
91 LAVERY Chloe K. 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
91 MARTUS Cosima O. 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
93 DESAI Meera P. 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1% -
94 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
95 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
96 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
96 FELAND Alexandra 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
98 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
98 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
100 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
101 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3%
102 BOK Michelle 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
103 JAMES Josephine 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
104 MILLER Veronica 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
105 ORTEGA Ivanna S. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
106 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
107 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
108 MYLER AnneMarie 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
109 RUEDA Rylie 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 4%
110 SHAMSIAN Shaya 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
111 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
112 HEDVAT Alexis S. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
113 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
114 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 93% 68% 33% 8% 1% -
115 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
116 SMUK Daria A. 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
117 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
118 AHUJA Arianna 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
119 KIM Erika S. 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
120 SCHMIDT Lori M. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
121 ELSTON Sophia 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
122 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
123 LONG Cindy 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
124 MING Cynthia 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
125 SAAL Anna 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.