National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Saturday, July 3, 2021 at 1:45 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
2 THOMPSON Kamali A. - - 1% 12% 40% 48%
3 LINDER Kara E. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
3 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
5 THEODORE Maria A. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
6 GREENBAUM Atara R. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
7 MILLER Sky - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
8 POSSICK Lola P. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
9 JENKINS Ryan J. - - - 1% 12% 41% 46%
10 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
11 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 17%
12 CHAN Casey - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
13 YUN Joy - - 4% 15% 32% 35% 15%
14 LI Amanda C. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
15 GOUHIN Chloe - - 2% 13% 37% 38% 10%
16 PAK Kaitlyn - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 12%
17 OISHI Megumi - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
18 CAO Stephanie X. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
19 TIMOFEYEV Nicole - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
20 WEINBERG Alexandra L. - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 3%
21 HARRILL Gillian N. - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
22 SATHYANATH Kailing 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
23 SHOMAN Jenna - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
24 ANGLADE Alexis C. - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
25 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
26 NEWELL Alexia C. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
27 ADYNSKI Gillian I. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
28 JULIEN Michelle 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
29 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
30 WITEK Sophie B. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
31 BROWN Emma 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8% 1%
32 BOIS Adele 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
33 TZOU Alexandra - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
34 LU Vivian Y. - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
35 AVAKIAN Mikaela - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
36 PARKER Abigale B. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
37 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
38 GREENBAUM Ella K. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
39 DOHERTY Maverick L. - 1% 6% 21% 38% 30% 5%
39 YONG Erika E. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
41 KALRA Himani V. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
42 BLUM Leah I. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
43 TONG Kunling - 4% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
44 HARRISON Imogen N. - 1% 5% 22% 41% 26% 5%
45 CHANG Josephine S. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
46 CHIN Erika J. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
47 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
48 LEE Alexandra B. - 4% 20% 39% 30% 6%
49 LIU Rachel 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
50 WHANG Rebecca - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
51 XI Shining 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
52 WU Erica L. 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
53 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
54 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
55 FREEDMAN Janna N. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
56 SHEALY Maggie - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
57 GHAYALOD reya 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1% -
58 KER Grace 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
59 HONE Katarina G. 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
60 MIKA Veronica 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
61 KOVACS Sophia - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
62 SHOMAN Miriam 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
63 LEVITIS Danielle 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
64 LIN Audrey J. 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
65 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
66 MOZHAEVA MARIA 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
67 TANG Catherine H. 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
68 HOOGENDOORN Sterre 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
69 YUN Maya 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
70 YAP Madeline 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
71 KATZ Anat 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
72 GORMLEY Arwen E. 5% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
73 MATAIEV Natalie S. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
74 BHATTACHARJEE Rhea 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
75 MARSEE Samantha 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
76 TUCKER Iman R. 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
77 HOOGENDOORN Levi 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
78 TAO Hannah J. 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
79 LACSON Sarah 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
80 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
81 CHEN Xinyan 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
81 CALLAHAN Chase J. 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
83 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
83 GUTHIKONDA Nithya - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
85 FEARNS Zara A. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1% -
86 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
87 BENTOLILA Thalia 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
88 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
89 CHIN Sophia J. 11% 36% 36% 15% 2% - -
90 BALAKUMARAN Maya 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
91 LU Amy 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
92 SZETO Chloe 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
93 VADASZ Ibla P. 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
94 ANDRES Katherine A. 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
95 KIM Zoe - 3% 14% 34% 37% 13%
96 ENDO Miyuki N. 23% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
97 SHEARER Natalie E. 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
98 BENOIT Adelaide L. 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
99 ANDRES Charmaine G. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
100 BUHAY Rachel T. 4% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
101 CHAN Audrey 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
102 CODY Alexandra C. 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
103 VALADEZ Emily T. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
104 SATHE Mehek S. 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
105 KONG Carys H. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
106 SHIN Andrea Y. 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
107 OLSEN Natalie J. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
108 STONE Hava S. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
109 ATLURI Sara V. 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
109 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -
111 WIGGERS Susan Q. 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
112 GORMAN Victoria M. 4% 20% 34% 27% 12% 2% -
113 HURST Kennedy 27% 45% 23% 5% - -
114 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
114 NEIBART Fiona 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.