National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Saturday, July 3, 2021 at 1:45 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 THOMPSON Kamali A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
3 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
3 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
5 THEODORE Maria A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
6 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
7 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
8 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
9 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
10 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
11 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
12 CHAN Casey 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
13 YUN Joy 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
14 LI Amanda C. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
15 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
16 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
17 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
18 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
19 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
20 WEINBERG Alexandra L. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
21 HARRILL Gillian N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
22 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
23 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
24 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
25 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
26 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
27 ADYNSKI Gillian I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
28 JULIEN Michelle 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
29 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
30 WITEK Sophie B. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
31 BROWN Emma 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
32 BOIS Adele 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
33 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
34 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
35 AVAKIAN Mikaela 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
36 PARKER Abigale B. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
37 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
38 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
39 DOHERTY Maverick L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
39 YONG Erika E. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
41 KALRA Himani V. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
42 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
43 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 3%
44 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 5%
45 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
46 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
47 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
48 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
49 LIU Rachel 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
50 WHANG Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
51 XI Shining 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
52 WU Erica L. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
53 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
54 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1%
55 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
56 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
57 GHAYALOD reya 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
58 KER Grace 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
59 HONE Katarina G. 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
60 MIKA Veronica 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
61 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
62 SHOMAN Miriam 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
63 LEVITIS Danielle 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
64 LIN Audrey J. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
65 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
66 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
67 TANG Catherine H. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
68 HOOGENDOORN Sterre 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
69 YUN Maya 100% 97% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
70 YAP Madeline 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
71 KATZ Anat 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
72 GORMLEY Arwen E. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
73 MATAIEV Natalie S. 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
74 BHATTACHARJEE Rhea 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
75 MARSEE Samantha 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
76 TUCKER Iman R. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
77 HOOGENDOORN Levi 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
78 TAO Hannah J. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
79 LACSON Sarah 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
80 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
81 CHEN Xinyan 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
81 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
83 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
83 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
85 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
86 SECK Chejsa-Kaili F. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
87 BENTOLILA Thalia 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
88 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
89 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
90 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
91 LU Amy 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
92 SZETO Chloe 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
93 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
94 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
95 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
96 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
97 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
98 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
99 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
100 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
101 CHAN Audrey 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
102 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3% -
103 VALADEZ Emily T. 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
104 SATHE Mehek S. 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
105 KONG Carys H. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
106 SHIN Andrea Y. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
107 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
108 STONE Hava S. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
109 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
109 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
111 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
112 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
113 HURST Kennedy 100% 73% 28% 5% - -
114 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
114 NEIBART Fiona 100% 83% 45% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.