National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Junior Women's Épée

Monday, July 5, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FALLON Kyle R. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
2 LEE Michelle J. - - 3% 16% 36% 33% 10%
3 KHAMIS Yasmine A. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
5 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
6 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
7 GANDHI Sedna S. - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
8 WATRALL Christina - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
9 HUSISIAN Hadley N. - - - - 1% 14% 86%
10 LIN Jessica Y. - - - - 2% 19% 80%
11 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
12 KETKAR Ketki - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
13 BOYS Nishta B. - - 1% 7% 29% 44% 19%
14 YEU Irene - - - - 5% 31% 63%
15 WANG Elizabeth - - 1% 7% 27% 45% 20%
16 CHOI Eunice - - 4% 21% 40% 30% 5%
17 WANG Karen - - - 1% 9% 38% 51%
18 PATURU Meghana - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
19 KUZNETSOV Victoria - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 14%
20 PARK Faith K. - - - - 3% 27% 70%
21 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. - 1% 6% 25% 41% 24% 3%
22 KHROL Jaclyn - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
22 GU Sarah - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
24 CAPELLUA Mariasole - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13% 1%
25 MAO Amy - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 3%
26 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. - - - 2% 16% 44% 38%
27 KOWALSKY Rachel A. - 3% 15% 36% 35% 11%
28 WU Amelia - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
29 MEHROTRA Anya - - 5% 23% 42% 27% 2%
30 KETKAR Mallika - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
31 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia - 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
32 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 29% 4%
33 YAMANAKA Mina - - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
34 JOYCE Michaela - - - - 1% 13% 87%
35 BEI Karen - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
36 CHIN Isabella - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
37 CHAN Cheri K. - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
38 GUMAGAY Erika L. - 1% 6% 27% 41% 22% 3%
39 LEE Sumin - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
40 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
41 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
42 ELSTON Sophia 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
43 O'DONNELL Amanda A. - - - 5% 21% 43% 30%
44 MINOR Lindsey 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
45 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9% 1%
46 KORFONTA Jolie - 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
47 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. - 5% 22% 41% 28% 5%
48 DESAI Meera P. - 7% 30% 41% 20% 3%
49 GAJJALA Sharika R. 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
50 JAKEL Sophia N. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
51 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
52 MOON Seojung 35% 42% 19% 4% < 1% -
53 WANG Nora - - 3% 20% 41% 30% 6%
54 GABERKORN Nadia - - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
55 MARTUS Cosima O. - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
56 LURYE Sarah - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
57 CHU Audrey - - 5% 23% 38% 27% 6%
58 NGUYEN Tallulah 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
59 LUO Ashley - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
60 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
61 NGUYEN Kira - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21% 2%
62 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 1% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
63 PEHLIVANI Zara - 4% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
64 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 11% 34% 36% 15% 3% - -
65 TYLER Syd - - - 3% 17% 44% 35%
66 NGUYEN Kaylin A. - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
67 LABBE Kathryn M. - - 3% 14% 36% 35% 12%
68 BROWN Hannah 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% < 1% -
69 DARANOUVONG Logan 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
70 HOSANAGAR Inchara 46% 42% 11% 1% < 1% -
71 MCLANE Lauren - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
72 PAPADAKIS Lily - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
73 JAMES Josephine - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10% -
74 SMOTRITSKY Mia - 2% 15% 38% 33% 10% 1%
75 CHENG Ava - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
76 LU Samantha R. 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
77 LIN Elaine 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
78 LEANG Priscilla Y. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
79 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
79 RUNIONS Emersyn - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
81 WEISS Talia L. - - 5% 25% 41% 25% 4%
82 HEDVAT Alexis S. - - 4% 20% 40% 31% 5%
83 MUELLER Emma M. 1% 8% 28% 38% 21% 5% -
84 SZEWC Alexandra - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
85 BAJAJ Nikita K. 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
85 HILL Phoebe 5% 28% 43% 20% 4% - -
87 ZIGALO Elizabeth - 4% 23% 41% 26% 5%
88 LIN Katie Y. - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
89 ZHANG mickey 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
90 MALDONADO Pilar I. - 1% 11% 35% 40% 13%
91 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. - - 6% 27% 44% 22%
92 LEUNG Natalie - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
93 DOUGLAS Julia F. - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
94 ZUHARS Renee A. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
95 KALE Anika A. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
96 LONADIER Keira 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
97 WEBER Nora - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 1%
98 BOTNER Olivia - 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% -
99 FENG ge 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
100 TONCHEVA Victoria M. - - 2% 11% 33% 42% 13%
100 KENT Elizabeth J. 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
102 LEANG Andrea K. - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 6%
102 LIU Christina A. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
104 SHAMSIAN Shaya - - 2% 15% 38% 37% 8%
105 PECK Maia A. 3% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
106 REID Anousheh - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
106 YOON Katherine 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
108 WONG Alexandra R. 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
109 FILIPPOV Nika D. - 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
110 BLAKE Caira 1% 26% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
111 YAO KATHARINE 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
111 LAN Alice S. - - 5% 23% 41% 27% 4%
113 AHUJA Arianna - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
113 PADHYE Tanishka - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
115 MYLER AnneMarie - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 5%
116 COBERT Helen G. - 1% 5% 22% 41% 29% 2%
117 MING Cynthia 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
118 SMUK Daria A. - 2% 13% 36% 35% 12% 1%
119 EBRAHIM Ameera H. - 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
120 BYBEE Lucy J. 7% 30% 40% 19% 3% - -
121 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
122 DONDISCH Sophia 8% 31% 39% 19% 3% -
123 YU Nicole J. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
124 CHAN Elizabeth - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
125 NEISINGH Isabelle 2% 36% 41% 17% 3% - -
126 MILLER Veronica 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
127 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
128 ZHANG Victoria R. 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
129 HENRY Asha S. - 4% 18% 40% 32% 6%
130 MILEWSKI Nicole - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
131 PARKER Allegra H. - - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
132 LI Alisha 8% 34% 37% 17% 4% - -
133 MESCHIA Maggie 2% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
134 HESS Heidi J. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
134 LIU Nicole 4% 26% 43% 22% 4% - -
136 ZHANG Tina Tianyi - - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
137 KIM Elizabeth Y. - 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
138 SWENSON Nikita G. 2% 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
139 KIM Zoe L. 1% 9% 33% 39% 16% 2%
140 WITTE Vera 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
141 FELAND Alexandra 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1%
142 SUN Renee R. - 4% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
143 BALSKUS Sophia 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
144 YU Sheerea 4% 27% 40% 22% 5% 1% -
145 PEELER Julia 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
146 BOK Michelle 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
147 RAINEY Zoe-Andrea 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
148 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
148 PACHECO Naomi 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
148 NGUYEN Audrey 3% 22% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
151 KIM Erika S. 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
152 JOHN Venus 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
153 LONG Cindy - 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 3%
154 LEE Yedda 1% 6% 23% 38% 25% 6% -
155 MUN Brianna K. 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
155 HAU Olivia 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
157 REITINGER Emilie B. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
157 GAO Judy - 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
157 RAI Ananya 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
157 KELLY Jenna 1% 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
157 LIN Ashley 33% 46% 18% 3% - - -
162 MURDOCH ROY Grace 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -
162 STOCK Olivia 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
162 XU Katelyn 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
165 NI Emma - 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
166 PAN Michelle 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
167 CAI Catelynn 54% 37% 8% 1% - - -
168 KIM Jayna 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
169 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
170 GUJJA Misha 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% - -
171 ZENG Katrina 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
172 HIRSCH Naomi B. 40% 42% 16% 3% - -
173 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
174 BONDAR Nika 15% 48% 29% 7% 1% -
175 BOLES Savvianna 20% 48% 26% 6% - -
176 SCHAFF Marlene M. 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
177 ZHU-HILL Alice A. 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
178 MANDAP Svetlanna 20% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
179 HAMILTON Nina M. 12% 41% 35% 11% 1% - -
179 HICKS Grace 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
181 SHERTZ Kira E. 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
182 CHERNIS Zoe C. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 2%
183 PENSULA Sophia E. 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
183 SKOURLETOS Angelina 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
185 PROKOPEAS Grace 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
186 HU Chelsea 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
186 NEELAM Neha 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
188 ANDERSON Claire 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
189 DOERR Zoe 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
189 SAINT-PHARD Shana 9% 40% 38% 12% 2% - -
191 SAAL Anna - 7% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
191 HABERMAN Hailey 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
193 ROMANO Julia 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -
194 DILLE Carolina G. 7% 31% 41% 18% 3% - -
194 LI Charlotte - 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
196 PARKS Eliana 63% 31% 6% - - - -
197 WHITE Zara 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
198 STOECKEL Sofia I. 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
199 GITHENS Gracyn J. 1% 13% 38% 35% 12% 1%
200 LE Jennifer 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
201 MIN MAGNOLIA 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
202 CHIRASHNYA Noya 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
203 APPLEBEE Andralyn 38% 43% 16% 2% - - -
203 HUNTER Madison < 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7% -
205 NELSON Grace E. 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
205 TAN Jocelyn 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
207 MATTHEWS Hailey 11% 40% 35% 12% 2% - -
208 NELSON Gwendolyn H. 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
209 MACEY Hadley 60% 34% 6% - - - -
210 DILLARD Katlyn M. 56% 36% 7% - - -
211 SIMHADRI Meghana 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
212 MACEDON Gianna 48% 40% 10% 1% - - -
212 GORMAN Simone 94% 6% - - - - -
214 SHEIN Evita 87% 13% 1% - - - -
214 KIM Lynne 90% 9% - - - - -
216 SOOHOO Claire 60% 33% 7% 1% - - -
217 MANCELL Hope 14% 44% 33% 8% 1% - -
218 GELMAN Emily 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.