National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Junior Women's Épée

Monday, July 5, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
2 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
3 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
5 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
6 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
7 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
8 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
9 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
10 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
11 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
12 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
13 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19%
14 YEU Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
15 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
16 CHOI Eunice 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
17 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
18 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
19 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
20 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
21 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27% 3%
22 KHROL Jaclyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
22 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
24 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14% 1%
25 MAO Amy 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 21% 3%
26 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
27 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
28 WU Amelia 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
29 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 2%
30 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
31 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
32 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 4%
33 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
34 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
35 BEI Karen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
36 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
37 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 5%
38 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 25% 3%
39 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 55% 17%
40 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
41 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
42 ELSTON Sophia 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
43 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
44 MINOR Lindsey 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2% -
45 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% 1%
46 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
47 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
48 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 3%
49 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
50 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
51 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
52 MOON Seojung 100% 65% 23% 4% < 1% -
53 WANG Nora 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
54 GABERKORN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
55 MARTUS Cosima O. 100% 100% 98% 83% 51% 17% 2%
56 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
57 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
58 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
59 LUO Ashley 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 2%
60 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
61 NGUYEN Kira 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 2%
62 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
63 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
64 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
65 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
66 NGUYEN Kaylin A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
67 LABBE Kathryn M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
68 BROWN Hannah 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% < 1% -
69 DARANOUVONG Logan 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
70 HOSANAGAR Inchara 100% 54% 12% 1% < 1% -
71 MCLANE Lauren 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
72 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
73 JAMES Josephine 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% -
74 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
75 CHENG Ava 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
76 LU Samantha R. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
77 LIN Elaine 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
78 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
79 OPERARIO Abigail Z. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
79 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
81 WEISS Talia L. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
82 HEDVAT Alexis S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 5%
83 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
84 SZEWC Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 16% 1%
85 BAJAJ Nikita K. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
85 HILL Phoebe 100% 95% 68% 25% 5% - -
87 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
88 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
89 ZHANG mickey 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
90 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
91 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 22%
92 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
93 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
94 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
95 KALE Anika A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
96 LONADIER Keira 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% 1%
97 WEBER Nora 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
98 BOTNER Olivia 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
99 FENG ge 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
100 TONCHEVA Victoria M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 13%
100 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
102 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
102 LIU Christina A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
104 SHAMSIAN Shaya 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 8%
105 PECK Maia A. 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
106 REID Anousheh 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
106 YOON Katherine 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
108 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
109 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% 1%
110 BLAKE Caira 100% 99% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
111 YAO KATHARINE 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3% -
111 LAN Alice S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 4%
113 AHUJA Arianna 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
113 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
115 MYLER AnneMarie 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 5%
116 COBERT Helen G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 2%
117 MING Cynthia 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
118 SMUK Daria A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 1%
119 EBRAHIM Ameera H. 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 10% 1%
120 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 93% 63% 22% 4% - -
121 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
122 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 92% 62% 22% 4% -
123 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
124 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
125 NEISINGH Isabelle 100% 98% 61% 21% 4% - -
126 MILLER Veronica 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
127 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
128 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
129 HENRY Asha S. 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 6%
130 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
131 PARKER Allegra H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
132 LI Alisha 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
133 MESCHIA Maggie 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
134 HESS Heidi J. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
134 LIU Nicole 100% 96% 70% 27% 5% - -
136 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
137 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
138 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
139 KIM Zoe L. 100% 99% 91% 57% 18% 2%
140 WITTE Vera 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% -
141 FELAND Alexandra 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
142 SUN Renee R. 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
143 BALSKUS Sophia 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
144 YU Sheerea 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
145 PEELER Julia 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
146 BOK Michelle 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
147 RAINEY Zoe-Andrea 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
148 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
148 PACHECO Naomi 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
148 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
151 KIM Erika S. 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
152 JOHN Venus 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
153 LONG Cindy 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
154 LEE Yedda 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7% -
155 MUN Brianna K. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
155 HAU Olivia 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
157 REITINGER Emilie B. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
157 GAO Judy 100% 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
157 RAI Ananya 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
157 KELLY Jenna 100% 99% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
157 LIN Ashley 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
162 MURDOCH ROY Grace 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
162 STOCK Olivia 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
162 XU Katelyn 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% - -
165 NI Emma 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
166 PAN Michelle 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
167 CAI Catelynn 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
168 KIM Jayna 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
169 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
170 GUJJA Misha 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
171 ZENG Katrina 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
172 HIRSCH Naomi B. 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
173 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
174 BONDAR Nika 100% 85% 36% 7% 1% -
175 BOLES Savvianna 100% 80% 32% 6% 1% -
176 SCHAFF Marlene M. 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
177 ZHU-HILL Alice A. 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
178 MANDAP Svetlanna 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
179 HAMILTON Nina M. 100% 88% 47% 12% 2% - -
179 HICKS Grace 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
181 SHERTZ Kira E. 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
182 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
183 PENSULA Sophia E. 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
183 SKOURLETOS Angelina 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
185 PROKOPEAS Grace 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
186 HU Chelsea 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
186 NEELAM Neha 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% - -
188 ANDERSON Claire 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
189 DOERR Zoe 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
189 SAINT-PHARD Shana 100% 91% 51% 13% 2% - -
191 SAAL Anna 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
191 HABERMAN Hailey 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
193 ROMANO Julia 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% - -
194 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 93% 62% 21% 3% - -
194 LI Charlotte 100% 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
196 PARKS Eliana 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
197 WHITE Zara 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
198 STOECKEL Sofia I. 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% - -
199 GITHENS Gracyn J. 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 1%
200 LE Jennifer 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
201 MIN MAGNOLIA 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
202 CHIRASHNYA Noya 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
203 APPLEBEE Andralyn 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
203 HUNTER Madison 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% -
205 NELSON Grace E. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
205 TAN Jocelyn 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
207 MATTHEWS Hailey 100% 89% 49% 13% 2% - -
208 NELSON Gwendolyn H. 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
209 MACEY Hadley 100% 40% 6% - - - -
210 DILLARD Katlyn M. 100% 44% 7% - - -
211 SIMHADRI Meghana 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
212 MACEDON Gianna 100% 52% 11% 1% - - -
212 GORMAN Simone 100% 6% - - - - -
214 SHEIN Evita 100% 13% 1% - - - -
214 KIM Lynne 100% 10% - - - - -
216 SOOHOO Claire 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
217 MANCELL Hope 100% 86% 42% 8% 1% - -
218 GELMAN Emily 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.