National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Tuesday, July 6, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - - - 1% 10% 39% 51%
2 LUKASHENKO Darii - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
3 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
3 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
5 ATTIG Will T. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 34%
6 CHAYEVSKY Kirk - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
7 MERCHANT Marcel J. - 1% 9% 40% 51%
8 SO Hananiah - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
9 LIANG Connor - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
10 WOOD Elden S. - - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13%
11 MAHONEY Colin M. - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
12 TRAVERS Samir T. - - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
13 JI Cody Walter - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
14 CAI Lawrence (Larry) - 1% 6% 26% 45% 23%
15 LILOV Neil - - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
16 PARK Donghwan - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
17 JOHNSON Andrew J. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
18 KIM Shawn J. - - 1% 6% 25% 48% 20%
18 ZU Kevin - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
20 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - - 1% 11% 42% 46%
21 BREIER Satchel E. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
22 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
23 JOHNSON Langston C. 1% 9% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
24 HONG Marshall Q. - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
25 BENAVRAM Lev C. - 1% 10% 32% 42% 16%
26 CHAN Matthew - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
27 NADILE Henry V. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
28 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
29 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
30 MORREALE John - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
31 SMITH David C. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 7%
32 GEFELL Andrew P. - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
33 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
34 LIMB Matthew G. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
35 WIND Nicky E. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
36 PRIEST Leighton K. - - 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
36 MORRILL William - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
38 OSTER Keegan J. - - 4% 18% 41% 31% 6%
39 YUN Jaesun - - 5% 23% 43% 25% 4%
40 RIVERA Inigo Franco - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
41 YEN Darren - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
42 BERMAN Luca - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
43 LIN John A. - - 3% 14% 34% 37% 12%
44 LAI Adam J. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
45 QUAN Nicholas - 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 4%
46 ZUBATIY Samuel - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
47 BASALYGA Jeffrey - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
48 LO Joshua H. - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
49 KIM Sean G. - - 1% 11% 37% 39% 12%
50 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - - 1% 12% 43% 44%
51 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 3% 17% 44% 36%
52 DHINGRA Gian K. - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 24%
53 YANG Ziyi - 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
54 RAI Avin - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
55 JEAN Noe T. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
56 REYES Xavier M. 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
57 BARBER William S. 1% 8% 28% 41% 20% 3%
58 ROBERTS Sam 1% 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
59 LINSKY Matthew - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
60 NOBLE Daniel - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
61 CZAHA Balint - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
62 BOLTON Braydon A. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
63 MORRILL Justin - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
64 YUAN Kevin 2% 13% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
65 YAO Jonathan - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
66 SOHN Kevin J. - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
67 JEFFORDS Alexander - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
68 SHEPANEK Noah M. - - 1% 7% 31% 45% 16%
69 DENG Andrew 1% 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
70 DODRILL Grant - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 17%
71 REESE Aaron S. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
72 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. - 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 4%
73 YUN Jake - 3% 15% 34% 33% 12% 2%
74 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
75 JINICH Ilan R. 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
76 CHIN Matthew W. - 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 3%
77 BULL Anderson 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
78 HU William - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
79 GHAYALOD ansh - 5% 28% 40% 22% 4%
80 HUSSAIN Faaris - 5% 27% 49% 18%
81 MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 4%
82 TANN Justin - 4% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
83 ZHOU Matthew R. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
84 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
85 HARVEY Nicholas J. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
86 MEHTA Sachin N. - - 2% 14% 39% 36% 8%
87 RESHEIDAT Malik - 11% 34% 37% 15% 3% -
87 HAN Daniel Y. 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
89 LIU kelly - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
90 ZHOU Kevin - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
91 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
92 BRAR Sanjeet - 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
93 RIGHTLER Samuel - 5% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
94 GHOSH Tuhin - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
95 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
96 BERGER Oliver - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
97 PAN Andrew W. 1% 15% 35% 32% 13% 3% -
98 ZHOU Miles 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
99 HUANG Ethan F. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
100 CHEONG Heonjae - 4% 23% 40% 27% 6%
101 TONG ZACHARY 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
102 SHI Andrew - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
103 DU Gavin J. 1% 6% 24% 37% 24% 6% 1%
104 KIM Shaun M. 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
105 TONG Qilin - - 1% 10% 36% 40% 13%
105 KAYDALIN Artyom - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
107 XU William 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
108 BARTOLO Domenic V. - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
109 KIM Matthew 5% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
110 LIU David J. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
111 HO Kaden M. - 5% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
112 XUE ALEXANDER 3% 20% 38% 30% 8% 1% -
112 KOTOV Leonid 8% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
114 WANG Eric Y. - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
115 BARNETT Adam - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
115 JIANG Anthony 1% 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
117 LUEBBE Macklan C - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
118 SANDERS Samuel B. 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
119 ALTIRS Alexander 3% 18% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
120 ESCUETA Tony V. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
121 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
121 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% -
123 WOODWARD Connor - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
124 CHENG Kyle 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
125 DOLAN Charles R. 1% 15% 35% 33% 14% 2% -
126 LE Hayden - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
127 LEVIN Mark A. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
128 BERRIO Carter E. - 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
129 ZHENG Edward L. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
130 SKINNER Graham B. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 4%
131 POPE Nico - 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
132 CHANG Eliot A. - 2% 19% 47% 26% 5% -
133 SMITH Mitchell M. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
134 DROZ Camden J. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 9%
135 HONG Vincent Q. - 3% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2%
136 FENG Leo - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
137 ASHBY Ethan J. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
138 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 20% 44% 29% 6% -
139 KNISPEL-HEYWORTH Rafael 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
140 ZHOU Aeres Z. 9% 33% 38% 16% 3% - -
141 KIM Andrew H. - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
142 BAE Jason I. 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
143 WILSON Jude - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
144 SIMAK Joseph P. - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
145 OVERDECK Andrew - 11% 36% 38% 13% 2% -
146 YEN Preston - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 2%
147 ATEFI Daniel 12% 39% 37% 11% 1%
148 LICHT Aaron H. 3% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
149 MAKLIN Edward P. 6% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
150 GREENBAUM Ian L. 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
151 KIBBAR Tomer L. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
152 CORTEZ Christopher 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
153 LI Joshua L. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
154 HOLMES Aiden G. 2% 16% 39% 32% 10% 1%
155 BECKER Dylan J. 5% 24% 38% 26% 8% 1%
156 CHAN Aidan 6% 51% 34% 8% 1% -
157 GHENEA George Philipe 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
158 LU Caleb Q. 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
159 NG Jeremiah 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
160 GANTA Vijay - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
161 REYES Kyle 2% 25% 41% 24% 6% 1% -
162 LOPEZ Lucas M. 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
162 LIU Jonathan M. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
164 CHANG Colin S. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
164 HU Andrew 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
166 SCHERER Max - 15% 51% 29% 5% - -
167 HOUTZ Jackson 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
168 BUKOWSKI Bronson - 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
169 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - 11% 37% 37% 13% 2% -
170 HUANG Tyler T. 1% 22% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
171 PENG Bryan 1% 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
172 PIWOWAR Alex 14% 44% 31% 9% 1% - -
173 HONG Steven - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
174 NOBLE Colin 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
175 STONE Esmond A. - 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
176 WONG James T. 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
176 YU Thomas 1% 60% 33% 5% - - -
178 HJERPE Wade H. 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1% -
179 REN Richard 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
180 RAJAN Advait 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
181 NEUHEARDT Peter 1% 8% 25% 34% 24% 8% 1%
182 GOLD Jackson 38% 43% 16% 3% - -
183 CONINE Tanner C. 7% 36% 39% 16% 3% -
184 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
185 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 12% 39% 36% 12% 2% -
186 ZHU Charlie 39% 44% 15% 2% - - -
187 JAWOROWSKI Matthew - 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
188 WILKINSON James 85% 14% - - - - -
189 FERRIS George H. 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
190 GAFFNEY John M. 1% 14% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
191 COLE Alexander 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
192 BIRKS Evan D. 54% 38% 8% 1% - - -
192 REED Samuel J. 4% 40% 40% 14% 2% - -
194 LIN Daniel 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
195 HANEY Vincent 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
195 MAY Griffin M. 1% 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
197 MICHNA Colin P. 6% 32% 39% 19% 4% - -
198 YOU Jaden 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% - -
198 LO Andrew 98% 2% - - - - -
200 EDELMAN Seth A. 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
201 WU Wilmund 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
202 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 29% 43% 23% 5% - - -
203 LIU Christopher X. 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
204 WANG Nicolas 2% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
205 BAUER Hank E. 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
206 PALMA Benedict-Gillian 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
207 TAN Darren 21% 52% 22% 4% - - -
208 ALFARO Lucas 90% 9% - - - - -
209 JAIN Aniket 82% 17% 1% - - - -
210 ZHANG Derek 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
211 RAUSCHER Ryan 25% 45% 25% 4% -
212 GREEN IV James (Bud) 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6% -
212 ELIN Adam E. 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
214 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 4% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
215 LEDERER Justin W. 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
215 CHENG Albert 27% 44% 24% 5% - - -
217 YI Carey 39% 40% 16% 3% - - -
218 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 12% 40% 34% 12% 2% - -
218 MARGULIES William 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
220 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
221 VO Minh Q. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
221 HAWKINS Jasper R. 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
221 RICHER Tyler 55% 38% 6% - - - -
224 MCCLUNG Gavin 21% 46% 26% 7% 1% - -
225 HAN Edward 7% 57% 30% 6% 1% - -
226 HOLLOWAY Adam 84% 15% 1% - - -
227 BAILEY Nate 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
228 SHEALEY Trey 66% 29% 5% - - - -
228 LO Bradley 72% 25% 3% - - - -
230 RONSAYRO Saul 93% 7% - - - - -
230 RODGERS Jacob 91% 8% - - - - -
232 DHANANI Zain 81% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.