National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Tuesday, July 6, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
2 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
3 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
5 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
6 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
7 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
8 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
9 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
10 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
11 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
12 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
13 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
14 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 23%
15 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
16 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
17 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
18 KIM Shawn J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 20%
18 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
20 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
21 BREIER Satchel E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
22 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
23 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% 1%
24 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
25 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
26 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
27 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
28 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
29 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
30 MORREALE John 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
31 SMITH David C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
32 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
33 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30%
34 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
35 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
36 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 15%
36 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
38 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 6%
39 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 4%
40 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
41 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
42 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
43 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
44 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
45 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
46 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
47 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
48 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
49 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
50 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
51 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
52 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
53 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
54 RAI Avin 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
55 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
56 REYES Xavier M. 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
57 BARBER William S. 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3%
58 ROBERTS Sam 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
59 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
60 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3%
61 CZAHA Balint 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
62 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
63 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
64 YUAN Kevin 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
65 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
66 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 15%
67 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
68 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 16%
69 DENG Andrew 100% 99% 78% 39% 12% 2% -
70 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
71 REESE Aaron S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
72 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
73 YUN Jake 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
74 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
75 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
76 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
77 BULL Anderson 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
78 HU William 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
79 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 95% 66% 26% 4%
80 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 94% 68% 18%
81 MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 4%
82 TANN Justin 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
83 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
84 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
85 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
86 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44% 8%
87 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% -
87 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
89 LIU kelly 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
90 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
91 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
92 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
93 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% -
94 GHOSH Tuhin 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
95 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
96 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
97 PAN Andrew W. 100% 99% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
98 ZHOU Miles 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
99 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
100 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
101 TONG ZACHARY 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
102 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
103 DU Gavin J. 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 7% 1%
104 KIM Shaun M. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
105 TONG Qilin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 13%
105 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
107 XU William 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
108 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
109 KIM Matthew 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
110 LIU David J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
111 HO Kaden M. 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
112 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1% -
112 KOTOV Leonid 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
114 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
115 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
115 JIANG Anthony 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
117 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
118 SANDERS Samuel B. 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
119 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% 1% -
120 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
121 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
121 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% -
123 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
124 CHENG Kyle 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
125 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
126 LE Hayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
127 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
128 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
129 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
130 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 4%
131 POPE Nico 100% 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3%
132 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 100% 98% 79% 32% 6% -
133 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
134 DROZ Camden J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
135 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
136 FENG Leo 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
137 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
138 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 80% 36% 6% -
139 KNISPEL-HEYWORTH Rafael 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
140 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
141 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
142 BAE Jason I. 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
143 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
144 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
145 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% -
146 YEN Preston 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
147 ATEFI Daniel 100% 88% 49% 11% 1%
148 LICHT Aaron H. 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
149 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
150 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
151 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
152 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
153 LI Joshua L. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
154 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
155 BECKER Dylan J. 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
156 CHAN Aidan 100% 94% 43% 9% 1% -
157 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
158 LU Caleb Q. 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
159 NG Jeremiah 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
160 GANTA Vijay 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
161 REYES Kyle 100% 98% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
162 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
162 LIU Jonathan M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
164 CHANG Colin S. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
164 HU Andrew 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
166 SCHERER Max 100% 100% 85% 34% 6% - -
167 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 1%
168 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
169 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 88% 52% 14% 2% -
170 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 99% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
171 PENG Bryan 100% 99% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
172 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 86% 42% 11% 2% - -
173 HONG Steven 100% 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
174 NOBLE Colin 100% 97% 78% 42% 14% 2% -
175 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
176 WONG James T. 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
176 YU Thomas 100% 99% 39% 5% - - -
178 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1% -
179 REN Richard 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
180 RAJAN Advait 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
181 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
182 GOLD Jackson 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
183 CONINE Tanner C. 100% 93% 57% 18% 3% -
184 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
185 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% -
186 ZHU Charlie 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
187 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
188 WILKINSON James 100% 15% - - - - -
189 FERRIS George H. 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
190 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
191 COLE Alexander 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
192 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 46% 8% 1% - - -
192 REED Samuel J. 100% 96% 56% 16% 2% - -
194 LIN Daniel 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
195 HANEY Vincent 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
195 MAY Griffin M. 100% 99% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
197 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% - -
198 YOU Jaden 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
198 LO Andrew 100% 2% - - - - -
200 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
201 WU Wilmund 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
202 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 100% 71% 28% 6% - - -
203 LIU Christopher X. 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
204 WANG Nicolas 100% 98% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
205 BAUER Hank E. 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -
206 PALMA Benedict-Gillian 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
207 TAN Darren 100% 79% 27% 4% - - -
208 ALFARO Lucas 100% 10% - - - - -
209 JAIN Aniket 100% 18% 1% - - - -
210 ZHANG Derek 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
211 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 75% 29% 4% -
212 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
212 ELIN Adam E. 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
214 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
215 LEDERER Justin W. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
215 CHENG Albert 100% 73% 29% 6% - - -
217 YI Carey 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
218 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% - -
218 MARGULIES William 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
220 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
221 VO Minh Q. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
221 HAWKINS Jasper R. 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
221 RICHER Tyler 100% 45% 6% - - - -
224 MCCLUNG Gavin 100% 79% 33% 7% 1% - -
225 HAN Edward 100% 93% 36% 6% 1% - -
226 HOLLOWAY Adam 100% 16% 1% - - -
227 BAILEY Nate 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
228 SHEALEY Trey 100% 34% 5% - - - -
228 LO Bradley 100% 28% 3% - - - -
230 RONSAYRO Saul 100% 7% - - - - -
230 RODGERS Jacob 100% 9% - - - - -
232 DHANANI Zain 100% 19% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.