National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, July 10, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YEN Darren - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
2 LAI Adam J. - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
3 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
3 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - 2% 9% 24% 36% 24% 5%
5 BIERNACKI Maciej L. - - - 1% 8% 33% 59%
6 MORREALE John - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
7 SHI Andrew - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
8 ESCUETA Tony V. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 26% 8%
9 TANN Justin - 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10%
10 LO Joshua H. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
11 GANTA Vijay - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
12 MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
13 OSTER Keegan J. - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 23%
14 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
15 HUANG Ethan F. 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
16 LUEBBE Macklan C - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
17 HOLZ William A. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
18 GHOSH Tuhin 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
19 GHENEA George Philipe 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
20 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
21 FENG Leo 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
22 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
23 BARTOLO Domenic V. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
24 RAI Avin - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
25 HO Kaden M. 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
26 XU William 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
27 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 10% 29% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
28 BARNETT Adam - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
29 CZAHA Balint - 3% 13% 28% 32% 18% 4%
30 RESHEIDAT Malik 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
31 MAKLIN Edward P. 3% 19% 34% 29% 12% 3% -
32 LIN Daniel 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% 1% -
33 REYES Xavier M. 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5%
34 BREIER Satchel E. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
35 HONG Vincent Q. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
36 YUN Jake 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
37 KAUFMAN Bradley A. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
38 KIM Shawn J. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
39 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
39 BRAR Sanjeet 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
41 HOLMES Aiden G. - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4%
41 WU Mengke 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
43 COVINGTON Max G. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
44 QUAN Nicholas - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
45 LEITH Jack 34% 42% 19% 4% < 1% - -
46 SHASHA zane 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 6% -
47 HARRIS Alex K. - 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11%
48 CHANG Colin S. 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
49 XU Andrew 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
50 LO Alexander 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
51 LU Caleb Q. 23% 40% 27% 9% 2% -
52 COLE Alexander 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
53 YAO Jonathan 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
54 BUKOWSKI Bronson - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
55 ATEFI Daniel 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
56 ZHOU Brian 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
57 CHOI Silas 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
58 LIU kelly 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
59 HAN Daniel Y. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
60 STONE Esmond A. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
61 MICHELL Bailey - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 5%
62 CHEONG Heonjae 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
63 KOKKIN Jack S. 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
64 NG Jeremiah 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
65 XUE ALEXANDER 3% 17% 35% 30% 13% 2% -
66 LEVIN Mark A. 2% 11% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
67 GAFFNEY John M. 5% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
68 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 2% 12% 29% 32% 19% 6% 1%
69 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 5%
70 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1% -
71 GREENBAUM Ian L. 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
72 YEN Preston 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
73 OH Triton 25% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
74 MURZYN III CJ 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
75 ESCUETA Jr Antonio V. 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
76 LI Joshua L. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
77 ALTIRS Alexander 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
78 ZHENG Edward L. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
79 CHENG Albert 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
80 DENG Andrew 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
81 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
82 SATHE Tej R. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
83 FALLICK Ozzie 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
84 PARKHURST Jr Michael 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
85 CHEN Evan P. 19% 39% 29% 11% 2% -
86 DILLREE Spencer S. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
87 BIRKS Evan D. 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.