National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, July 10, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
2 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
3 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
3 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 5%
5 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59%
6 MORREALE John 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
7 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
8 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 34% 8%
9 TANN Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10%
10 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
11 GANTA Vijay 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4%
12 MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
13 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
14 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6%
15 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
16 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
17 HOLZ William A. 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
18 GHOSH Tuhin 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
19 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
20 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
21 FENG Leo 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
22 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
23 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
24 RAI Avin 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
25 HO Kaden M. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
26 XU William 100% 99% 89% 65% 31% 8% 1%
27 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 90% 62% 28% 8% 1% -
28 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
29 CZAHA Balint 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
30 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
31 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
32 LIN Daniel 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
33 REYES Xavier M. 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5%
34 BREIER Satchel E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
35 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
36 YUN Jake 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
37 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
38 KIM Shawn J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
39 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
39 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
41 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4%
41 WU Mengke 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
43 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
44 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 41% 11%
45 LEITH Jack 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
46 SHASHA zane 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% -
47 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 11%
48 CHANG Colin S. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
49 XU Andrew 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
50 LO Alexander 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
51 LU Caleb Q. 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% -
52 COLE Alexander 100% 87% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
53 YAO Jonathan 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
54 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
55 ATEFI Daniel 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
56 ZHOU Brian 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
57 CHOI Silas 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
58 LIU kelly 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
59 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 95% 71% 36% 10% 1%
60 STONE Esmond A. 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
61 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
62 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
63 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
64 NG Jeremiah 100% 96% 77% 45% 16% 3% -
65 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
66 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
67 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
68 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 100% 98% 87% 58% 26% 6% 1%
69 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 5%
70 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 100% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
71 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
72 YEN Preston 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
73 OH Triton 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
74 MURZYN III CJ 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
75 ESCUETA Jr Antonio V. 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
76 LI Joshua L. 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
77 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
78 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
79 CHENG Albert 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
80 DENG Andrew 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
81 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
82 SATHE Tej R. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
83 FALLICK Ozzie 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
84 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
85 CHEN Evan P. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
86 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
87 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.