National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-10 Men's Épée

Saturday, July 10, 2021 at 1:15 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Zhengyang 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 ELHUSSEINI Kyle 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 FENG shang 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
3 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
5 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
6 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
7 GUO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
8 WANG Joey 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
9 ELHUSSEINI Dylan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
10 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
11 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
12 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 10%
13 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
14 LU Jacob 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
15 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
16 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
17 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 25% 3%
18 AYOTTE James 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 1% -
19 WHITE Taggart 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
19 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
21 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 41% 6%
22 OLSON Joseph 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
23 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
24 RUSSELL Michael 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
25 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 2%
26 KIM Tae 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
27 GONZALEZ Gavin 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
28 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
29 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
30 QIAN Irvine 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 1%
31 MOORE Alexander 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
32 ELMARSAFI Nurideen 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
33 KOKES William 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
34 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
35 DAI Chengwen 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
36 RYAN Pierce 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 3%
37 LEE DoWon 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
38 PARK Aiden 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
39 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
40 ZHOU Shawn 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
41 KIM Henry 100% 92% 53% 13% 1% - -
42 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 4% -
43 SONG Aidan 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
44 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
45 LIN WILLIAM 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
46 MIDYANY Evan 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
47 ZHAI Derrick 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 6% -
48 CHOW Jovan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
49 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -
50 YAO Tristan 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% - -
51 CLARK Ian 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
52 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 98% 83% 53% 20% 4% -
53 KIM Remington 100% 94% 62% 19% 3% - -
54 JAHAN-PARVAR Kourosh 100% 85% 44% 12% 2% - -
55 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
56 WANG Riley 100% 95% 70% 28% 6% -
57 AHN EZRA 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
58 KROPP Wesley 100% 91% 54% 17% 2% -
59 WONG Alexander 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
60 CHEN Aiden 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
61 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
62 GATZA Jason 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 10% 1%
63 DANILOV Artur 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
64 KIM Julian 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
65 WU Nathan 100% 82% 43% 14% 2% - -
66 WARK William 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
67 YU Rainger 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
68 LEWIS Michael 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
69 JONES Blaise P. 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
69 LIU Jeremy 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
71 ELMARSAFI Wissam 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
72 JAHAN-PARVAR Dariush 100% 41% 7% - - - -
73 WATTANAKIT Tawin 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
74 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 100% 79% 30% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.