National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
2 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
3 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
3 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
5 REID Anousheh 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
6 MINOR Lindsey 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
7 GAO Judy 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
8 LEE Yedda 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
9 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
10 LONADIER Keira 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
10 FENG ge 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
12 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
13 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 34% 8%
14 BOK Michelle 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 7%
15 LIN Elaine 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
16 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
17 YANG Chloe 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
18 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
19 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
20 TAMRAGOURI Sucheta 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
21 LAN Alice S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
22 AHUJA Arianna 100% 100% 98% 85% 57% 23% 4%
23 EBRAHIM Ameera H. 100% 100% 97% 86% 61% 28% 6%
24 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
25 HU Chelsea 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
26 DONDISCH Sophia 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
27 MILLER Veronica 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 1%
28 LEE Kaitlyn M. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
29 SZEWC Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
30 YAO Yilin 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
31 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
32 PECK Maia A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
33 MAO Amy 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
34 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 10%
35 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20%
36 LI Alisha 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
37 PARKS Eliana 100% 78% 40% 13% 2% < 1% -
38 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
39 NAROTZKY Emma 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
40 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
41 BENZAN India 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
42 KIM Jayna 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 17% 3%
43 KENT Elizabeth J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
44 SCHAFF Marlene M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
44 YOU Emily 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
46 HICKS Grace 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
47 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
48 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 13%
49 YAO KATHARINE 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
50 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
51 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1%
52 WEISS Olivia 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
53 PACHECO Naomi 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
54 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
55 PENSULA Sophia E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 2%
56 TAUBLER Michelle 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
57 HIRSCH Naomi B. 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
57 SAAL Anna 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3%
59 SMUK Daria A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
60 MESCHIA Maggie 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 18% 3%
61 PAN Michelle 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
62 ANDERSON Claire 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
63 MORIN Jenna 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
63 ARAYE Nasro 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
65 BAJAJ Nikita K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 40% 9%
66 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
66 PEARSON Heila 100% 97% 82% 53% 22% 5% 1%
68 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 100% 99% 91% 69% 38% 12% 2%
69 WITTE Vera 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3%
70 RAI Ananya 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
71 GROSSL Karina 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% -
72 KIM Erika S. 100% 100% 92% 64% 24% 3%
73 TOFFELMIRE Amelia A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 12%
74 KANEVSKY Samantha 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
75 TAYLOR Beth 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 26% 5%
76 BOLES Savvianna 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 8% 1%
76 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
78 LI Meilin 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
79 JAMES Josephine 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
80 MCGEE Sophia 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
81 CHANG Ella 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
82 APPLEBEE Andralyn 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
83 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
84 WIESSLER-HUGHES Linda 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
85 MING Cynthia 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
86 SAINT-PHARD Shana 100% 96% 70% 29% 6% -
87 GABERKORN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
88 HOSANAGAR Inchara 100% 98% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
89 WHITE Zara 100% 99% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
90 ZHANG mickey 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
91 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 2%
92 HABERMAN Hailey 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
92 MANDAP Svetlanna 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
94 LESPERANCE Jordan 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
95 SHICK Klaudia 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
96 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
97 MCSHINE Katelyn H. 100% 97% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
98 GUJJA Misha 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
99 GROENING Joanne 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
100 RIST Rebecca (Beck) J. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
101 PALANSKI Cate 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
102 DOERR Zoe 100% 91% 64% 31% 9% 2% -
103 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
104 AUCHTERLONIE Seven 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
105 LORES Alicia 100% 100% 95% 76% 45% 16% 2%
106 FLANIGAN KENDRA 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
107 MILEWSKI Samantha 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 25% 5%
108 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 4%
109 ZENG Katrina 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
110 SEMENETS Mira 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
110 BALSKUS Sophia 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
112 CAREY Michele S. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
112 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya A. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
114 SHEVCHENKO Viktoriia 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
115 RAINEY Zoe-Andrea 100% 89% 59% 25% 7% 1% -
116 ROWLAND May 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
117 NORCONK Claire R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
118 SOTELO Michelle 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
119 BOTNER Olivia 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
119 LEWIS Rachel 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
119 DONDISCH Andrea 100% 21% 2% - - - -
122 UPHAM Karolyn 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
123 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
124 GARTNER Kacie 100% 79% 40% 13% 2% - -
125 GELMAN Emily 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
125 NEELAM Neha 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
127 XU Katelyn 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
128 BARREIRO Katrina 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
129 GLOVER Cynthia E. 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
130 EGENOLF Gabriella 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
131 LI Charlotte 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.