National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, July 11, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PEHLIVANI Zara - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
2 MILEWSKI Nicole - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
3 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
3 SMOTRITSKY Mia - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
5 REID Anousheh - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
6 MINOR Lindsey 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
7 GAO Judy 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 13% 2%
8 LEE Yedda - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
9 YANG Alisa - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
10 LONADIER Keira 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
10 FENG ge 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
12 FURMAN Maria - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
13 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. - 2% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
14 BOK Michelle - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
15 LIN Elaine 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
16 MUELLER Emma M. 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
17 YANG Chloe - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6%
18 KORFONTA Jolie - 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
19 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
20 TAMRAGOURI Sucheta - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
21 LAN Alice S. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
22 AHUJA Arianna - 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
23 EBRAHIM Ameera H. - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
24 DESAI Meera P. - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
25 HU Chelsea 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
26 DONDISCH Sophia - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
27 MILLER Veronica 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
28 LEE Kaitlyn M. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
29 SZEWC Alexandra - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
30 YAO Yilin 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
31 CHERNYSHOVA Victoria 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
32 PECK Maia A. - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
33 MAO Amy - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
34 CAPELLUA Mariasole - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
35 MALLAVARPU Aarthi C. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
36 LI Alisha 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
37 PARKS Eliana 22% 38% 27% 10% 2% < 1% -
38 PRIHODKO Nina 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
39 NAROTZKY Emma - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
40 YU Nicole J. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
41 BENZAN India 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
42 KIM Jayna 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
43 KENT Elizabeth J. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
44 SCHAFF Marlene M. - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
44 YOU Emily 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
46 HICKS Grace 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
47 PRIMES Amanda M. - 3% 12% 26% 33% 21% 5%
48 KIM Elizabeth Y. - - 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
49 YAO KATHARINE - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
50 GUMAGAY Erika L. - - 5% 21% 43% 30%
51 BYBEE Lucy J. 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
52 WEISS Olivia - 2% 9% 23% 34% 25% 7%
53 PACHECO Naomi 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
54 SIBLEY Elisabeth J. 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
55 PENSULA Sophia E. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 2%
56 TAUBLER Michelle 4% 18% 31% 28% 14% 4% -
57 HIRSCH Naomi B. 2% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
57 SAAL Anna - 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
59 SMUK Daria A. - 1% 9% 29% 43% 19%
60 MESCHIA Maggie - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
61 PAN Michelle - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
62 ANDERSON Claire 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
63 MORIN Jenna 7% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
63 ARAYE Nasro 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
65 BAJAJ Nikita K. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
66 SCHULTZ Gillian 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
66 PEARSON Heila 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
68 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
69 WITTE Vera - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
70 RAI Ananya 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
71 GROSSL Karina 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% -
72 KIM Erika S. - 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
73 TOFFELMIRE Amelia A. - 2% 12% 35% 39% 12%
74 KANEVSKY Samantha 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
75 TAYLOR Beth - 3% 12% 27% 32% 21% 5%
76 BOLES Savvianna 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
76 NGUYEN Audrey 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
78 LI Meilin 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
79 JAMES Josephine - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
80 MCGEE Sophia 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
81 CHANG Ella 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
82 APPLEBEE Andralyn 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
83 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
84 WIESSLER-HUGHES Linda 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
85 MING Cynthia - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 5%
86 SAINT-PHARD Shana 4% 26% 41% 24% 5% -
87 GABERKORN Nadia - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
88 HOSANAGAR Inchara 2% 28% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
89 WHITE Zara 1% 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
90 ZHANG mickey - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
91 SWEET Ryleigh E. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
92 HABERMAN Hailey 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
92 MANDAP Svetlanna 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
94 LESPERANCE Jordan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
95 SHICK Klaudia 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
96 BOWIE Charlotta 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
97 MCSHINE Katelyn H. 3% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
98 GUJJA Misha 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
99 GROENING Joanne 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
100 RIST Rebecca (Beck) J. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
101 PALANSKI Cate - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
102 DOERR Zoe 9% 27% 33% 22% 8% 1% -
103 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Maia - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
104 AUCHTERLONIE Seven 21% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
105 LORES Alicia - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
106 FLANIGAN KENDRA 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
107 MILEWSKI Samantha - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
108 CASTANEDA Erika L. - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
109 ZENG Katrina 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
110 SEMENETS Mira - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
110 BALSKUS Sophia - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
112 CAREY Michele S. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
112 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya A. 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
114 SHEVCHENKO Viktoriia - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
115 RAINEY Zoe-Andrea 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
116 ROWLAND May 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
117 NORCONK Claire R. - < 1% 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
118 SOTELO Michelle 10% 33% 35% 17% 5% 1% -
119 BOTNER Olivia 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
119 LEWIS Rachel 13% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
119 DONDISCH Andrea 79% 19% 2% - - - -
122 UPHAM Karolyn 2% 14% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
123 NOLLNER Jennifer R. 19% 37% 29% 12% 2% - -
124 GARTNER Kacie 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
125 GELMAN Emily 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
125 NEELAM Neha 31% 41% 21% 6% 1% - -
127 XU Katelyn 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
128 BARREIRO Katrina 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
129 GLOVER Cynthia E. 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
130 EGENOLF Gabriella 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
131 LI Charlotte 2% 13% 29% 31% 19% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.