National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div III Men's Saber

Monday, July 12, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HONG Vincent Q. - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
2 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 11%
3 SWORDS Evan F. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
3 ZHANG Derek - 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
5 REYES Xavier M. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
6 SHOMAN Zachary - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
7 DOLAN Charles R. - 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
8 ELIN Adam E. - - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
9 GOLDMAN Noah R. - 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2%
10 MAGUIRE Matthew V. - - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
11 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
12 HONG Steven - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
13 MEDVEDEV Michail D. - 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
14 LUTHRA Arjun - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
15 REYES Kyle - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
16 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 1% 12% 31% 33% 18% 4% -
17 NOBLE Colin - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
18 VO Minh Q. - 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2%
19 COVINGTON Max G. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
20 HUANG Ethan F. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
21 ZHOU Aeres Z. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
22 KUMAR Sachit 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
23 SILVA Daniel - - 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
24 SAVOY Luca 1% 9% 28% 37% 22% 5%
25 KOTOV Leonid - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
26 CHEN Evan P. 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
27 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) - - 6% 26% 39% 24% 5%
28 GREENE Alexander J. - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
29 XU Andrew - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
30 NAZLYMOV Andrei - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
31 YUAN Kevin - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
32 SHOMAN Noah - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
33 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
34 WEBER Mattias A. 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
34 ATEFI Daniel - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 14%
36 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
37 CHEN Andrew 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
38 ZENG Noah - - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
39 KILARI Krish 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
40 DELARUE NELSON Y. - - 8% 31% 39% 19% 3%
41 LIN Daniel - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
42 PIWOWAR Alex 1% 5% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
43 TSODIKOV Matthew G. - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
44 ZHOU Brian - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
45 YOU Jaden 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
46 CADAMBI Roshan 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
47 OVERDECK Andrew - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
48 GREENE Cameron J. - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
49 HUANG Alexander C. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
50 REN James - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3%
51 WONG Ryan - - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
52 NG Jeremiah - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
53 YU Thomas 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
54 HUANG Tyler T. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
55 PARKHURST Jr Michael - 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 7%
56 MICHNA Colin P. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
57 LEITH Jack - 5% 18% 32% 30% 14% 2%
58 SPOSATO Andrew P. - 1% 15% 37% 34% 12% 1%
59 BULL Anderson - - 4% 20% 39% 31% 6%
60 JAWOROWSKI Matthew - 1% 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
61 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
62 HU Andrew - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 5%
63 DENG Andrew - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
64 CHENG Kyle 1% 11% 36% 37% 14% 2%
65 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
66 TAN Darren 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
67 SANFILIPPO-SCHERER Alexander G. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
68 BAUER Hank E. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
69 MORALES Jonathan 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
70 CHAN Aidan 2% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
71 LAU Justin Y. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
72 LOPEZ Lucas M. - 6% 23% 38% 25% 7% 1%
73 FERBER Oliver E. - 6% 37% 38% 16% 3% -
74 LEDERER Justin W. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
75 KLEBS Robert 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
76 TASIKAS Stylianos - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
77 LO Andrew T. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
78 ZHU Charlie 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
79 VAUGHN Jason - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
80 SANDERS Samuel B. - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
80 LIU Mingyang Ryan 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
82 BUCCINO George 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
83 BIRKS Evan D. 1% 11% 36% 35% 14% 3% -
83 BRISTOL Brijen 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
85 BAILEY Nate 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
86 CHEONG Heonjun - 1% 23% 42% 26% 7% -
87 SPRANG Nicholas D. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
88 PALMA Benedict-Gillian 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
89 SMITH Vaughn 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
90 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. - 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
91 CORTEZ Christopher - 6% 28% 40% 22% 4%
92 LO Bradley 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
93 AN Damon 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
94 MCCONNELL Grady 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
95 KROON Lucas 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
96 MARGULIES William - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
97 HUROWITZ Max 5% 29% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
98 WU Wilmund - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
99 WANG Gerald Y. - 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
100 UYANIK Muhammet 6% 40% 37% 14% 3% - -
101 WALLACE Taylor 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
102 JAIN Aniket 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
103 TSAI Michael T. 12% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
104 LO Andrew 84% 15% 1% - - - -
105 ZHOU Hudson L. 9% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
106 BESTMAN Willie D. 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
107 GOLD Jackson 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
108 LU Caleb Q. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 8%
109 HUSTON Theodore 5% 45% 41% 9% 1% - -
110 CHENG Albert 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
111 JANG Junhyuk 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
112 KORINTH Alexander J. 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 2% -
113 BONTS Nathaniel 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
113 YU Limin 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
115 SHASHA zane - < 1% 4% 17% 35% 32% 12%
116 GUALTIERI Evan R. 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
116 STONE Martin 31% 45% 20% 4% - - -
118 KLENKE Cameron 14% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
119 RONSAYRO Saul 40% 54% 6% - - - -
120 SMITH Taggert 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
121 FREDRICK Jameer 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
122 RICKERT Michael A. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
122 STONE Brad 26% 58% 15% 1% - - -
124 LIGUORI Michael 22% 46% 25% 6% 1% - -
125 RYAN Joshua P. 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
126 ELDER John 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
126 CHENG Cody 5% 23% 37% 25% 9% 1% -
128 CHENG Jonathan 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
129 VELTZ Tyler J. 73% 24% 3% - - -
129 LOTH Connor 12% 48% 31% 8% 1% -
131 TRUONG Oliver 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
132 SIMS Martin L. 60% 37% 3% - - - -
132 LAGASSE Jack T. 46% 44% 9% 1% - - -
134 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 75% 22% 3% - - - -
134 RODGERS Jacob 74% 24% 2% - - - -
136 ANDERSON Donald 52% 45% 2% - - - -
136 MCSPADDEN Chance 73% 24% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.