National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div III Men's Saber

Monday, July 12, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
2 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 11%
3 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
3 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
5 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
6 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 21%
7 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6%
8 ELIN Adam E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
9 GOLDMAN Noah R. 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
10 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
11 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
12 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
13 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
14 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
15 REYES Kyle 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
16 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 5% -
17 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
18 VO Minh Q. 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
19 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
20 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
21 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
22 KUMAR Sachit 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
23 SILVA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 6%
24 SAVOY Luca 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5%
25 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
26 CHEN Evan P. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
27 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
28 GREENE Alexander J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
29 XU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
30 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
31 YUAN Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
32 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
33 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
34 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
34 ATEFI Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
36 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
37 CHEN Andrew 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1%
38 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
39 KILARI Krish 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 7% 1%
40 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 100% 100% 91% 61% 22% 3%
41 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
42 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
43 TSODIKOV Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
44 ZHOU Brian 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
45 YOU Jaden 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
46 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
47 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
48 GREENE Cameron J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
49 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
50 REN James 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
51 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
52 NG Jeremiah 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
53 YU Thomas 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
54 HUANG Tyler T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
55 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
56 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
57 LEITH Jack 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
58 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
59 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
60 JAWOROWSKI Matthew 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 13%
61 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
62 HU Andrew 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
63 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
64 CHENG Kyle 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2%
65 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
66 TAN Darren 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
67 SANFILIPPO-SCHERER Alexander G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 12%
68 BAUER Hank E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
69 MORALES Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
70 CHAN Aidan 100% 98% 79% 42% 14% 2% -
71 LAU Justin Y. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
72 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
73 FERBER Oliver E. 100% 100% 94% 57% 19% 3% -
74 LEDERER Justin W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
75 KLEBS Robert 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
76 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
77 LO Andrew T. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
78 ZHU Charlie 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
79 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 5%
80 SANDERS Samuel B. 100% 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
80 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
82 BUCCINO George 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
83 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 99% 89% 52% 17% 3% -
83 BRISTOL Brijen 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
85 BAILEY Nate 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
86 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 99% 75% 34% 7% -
87 SPRANG Nicholas D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
88 PALMA Benedict-Gillian 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
89 SMITH Vaughn 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
90 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 5%
91 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 4%
92 LO Bradley 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
93 AN Damon 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
94 MCCONNELL Grady 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
95 KROON Lucas 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
96 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
97 HUROWITZ Max 100% 95% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
98 WU Wilmund 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
99 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
100 UYANIK Muhammet 100% 94% 53% 17% 3% - -
101 WALLACE Taylor 100% 99% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
102 JAIN Aniket 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
103 TSAI Michael T. 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
104 LO Andrew 100% 16% 1% - - - -
105 ZHOU Hudson L. 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
106 BESTMAN Willie D. 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
107 GOLD Jackson 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1%
108 LU Caleb Q. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
109 HUSTON Theodore 100% 95% 51% 9% 1% - -
110 CHENG Albert 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
111 JANG Junhyuk 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
112 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 2% -
113 BONTS Nathaniel 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
113 YU Limin 100% 73% 32% 9% 1% - -
115 SHASHA zane 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12%
116 GUALTIERI Evan R. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
116 STONE Martin 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
118 KLENKE Cameron 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
119 RONSAYRO Saul 100% 60% 7% - - - -
120 SMITH Taggert 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -
121 FREDRICK Jameer 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
122 RICKERT Michael A. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
122 STONE Brad 100% 74% 16% 1% - - -
124 LIGUORI Michael 100% 78% 32% 7% 1% - -
125 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
126 ELDER John 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
126 CHENG Cody 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
128 CHENG Jonathan 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
129 VELTZ Tyler J. 100% 27% 3% - - -
129 LOTH Connor 100% 88% 40% 8% 1% -
131 TRUONG Oliver 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
132 SIMS Martin L. 100% 40% 3% - - - -
132 LAGASSE Jack T. 100% 54% 9% 1% - - -
134 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 100% 25% 3% - - - -
134 RODGERS Jacob 100% 26% 3% - - - -
136 ANDERSON Donald 100% 48% 2% - - - -
136 MCSPADDEN Chance 100% 27% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.