Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - - 5% 35% 59%
2 QIAN Jason H. - - - 4% 24% 54% 18%
3 GUTH Joseph - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
3 SUAREZ Adrian - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
5 TANG Alexander L. - - 4% 24% 52% 20%
6 SHENG Dalton - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
7 MAO Lucas - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
8 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
9 VADEN Oliver - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
10 KOE Beckett 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
11 ZHAO Adam - 4% 23% 45% 23% 4% -
12 JIN Andy 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
13 DHOKTE Neev - 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
14 ZHANG Alex - 1% 9% 32% 41% 17%
15 LU Nathan 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1%
16 PARRISH Evan 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1%
17 PAN Edwin 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
18 HUA Aaron 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1%
19 BOWLES K 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
20 HE Kyle 1% 11% 31% 37% 16% 3% -
21 SUAREZ David 1% 11% 33% 40% 14% 1% -
22 HARPER Wesley - 4% 18% 34% 32% 12%
23 MARISI Gabriel 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2%
24 PLUMMER Waylon 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
25 CHEN Hanson 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
26 YU William 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
27 LIU Robert 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
28 SHAW Spencer 28% 43% 23% 5% - -
29 HE Ryan 3% 21% 40% 29% 7% -
30 KOE Declan 25% 45% 25% 5% - - -
31 SMALL Zachary 64% 30% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.