Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, October 9, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
2 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 18%
3 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
3 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
5 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 20%
6 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
7 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
8 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
9 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 11%
10 KOE Beckett 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
11 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 96% 73% 28% 4% -
12 JIN Andy 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
13 DHOKTE Neev 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4%
14 ZHANG Alex 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
15 LU Nathan 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
16 PARRISH Evan 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
17 PAN Edwin 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% -
18 HUA Aaron 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
19 BOWLES K 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
20 HE Kyle 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 3% -
21 SUAREZ David 100% 99% 88% 55% 15% 1% -
22 HARPER Wesley 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12%
23 MARISI Gabriel 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2%
24 PLUMMER Waylon 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
25 CHEN Hanson 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
26 YU William 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
27 LIU Robert 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
28 SHAW Spencer 100% 72% 28% 6% - -
29 HE Ryan 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
30 KOE Declan 100% 75% 30% 5% - - -
31 SMALL Zachary 100% 36% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.