Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Michael - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
2 ORLOV Dmitriy - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
3 ELWOOD Sebastian F. - - - 1% 8% 37% 55%
3 LI Matthew - - - 3% 20% 55% 22%
5 ROSE Ben - - 2% 10% 31% 41% 17%
6 TANG Owen S. - - - - 6% 35% 59%
7 SONG Austin - - 1% 8% 32% 47% 13%
8 TIKHAEV Alexander 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
9 YAO Bradley - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
10 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - - 5% 37% 58%
11 WANG Winston - - 1% 11% 36% 41% 11%
12 WONG Garrick G. - - - 1% 13% 48% 38%
13 MOE Annan 15% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
14 MAO Lucas - 3% 18% 39% 32% 7% -
15 MAHRAN-GALINDO Alex - - - 2% 14% 49% 35%
16 SHENG Dalton - 1% 6% 25% 42% 23% 3%
17 TANG Albert - 1% 13% 37% 37% 12%
18 QIAN Jason H. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
19 PAN Henry - 1% 9% 33% 44% 12% 1%
20 QUINTERO Julian 4% 31% 41% 20% 4% - -
21 GUTH Joseph 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
22 HUTH Trevor - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
23 VADEN Oliver - - 6% 27% 44% 20% 2%
24 TANG August L. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
25 KOE Beckett 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
26 DHOKTE Neev - 6% 32% 40% 19% 3%
27 PARRISH Evan 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
28 ZOU Yuming 1% 9% 31% 40% 17% 3% -
29 LI Lianhan 2% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1% -
30 TANG Alexander L. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
31 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
32 LUAN Tian 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
33 MARISI Gabriel - 6% 27% 42% 21% 3% -
34 WANG Brayden 1% 6% 23% 37% 25% 7% 1%
35 JIANG Bowang 12% 32% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
36 HUANG Eythan - 2% 19% 40% 31% 8%
37 SEMP Iain 2% 14% 36% 36% 12% 1% -
38 ZHANG Alex 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2%
39 RILEY Colin T. 38% 43% 16% 3% - - -
40 ZHAO Adam - 7% 28% 40% 22% 3% -
41 SUAREZ Adrian 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
42 LU Nathan 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% - -
43 SINGU Dhruva 67% 29% 4% - - - -
44 YU William 16% 56% 24% 4% - -
45 PAN Edwin 2% 19% 44% 28% 6% 1% -
46 KIM Chaevin 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
47 DEMIR Omer 12% 39% 36% 12% 1% - -
48 CAO Vincent 66% 29% 4% - - - -
49 HE Kyle 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% - -
50 BOWLES K 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% - -
51 LEE Ethan 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1% -
52 MACKAY Ian 67% 30% 3% - - -
53 SHAW Spencer 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
53 ZAIDI Adil 2% 49% 39% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.